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Current Win Probability
London Knights 53.4%
Draw 20.1%
Sarnia Sting 26.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.2%
19.1%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
20.4%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
London Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that London Knights's form might have worsened.
Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for London Knights than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
London Knights - Sarnia Sting Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Cooke B. (G)
34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
10. Barch K.
6. Aucoin C. (A)
20. Beaulieu R.
33. Aucoin K.
34. Bidgood C. (A)
18. Campbell D.
43. Brown R. (C)
84. Challenger T.
96. Campeau A.
17. Di Iorio A. (C)
87. Cover J.
71. Gaughan C.
23. Harmer C.
27. Gulbrandsen J.
66. Leet B.
26. Hawery L.
29. Le Gallic E.
53. Holmes P.
44. McAslan C.
9. Jaworski S.
77. Mitchell C.
24. Katolicky S.
57. Nordmark M.
93. Lammens B.
92. Piiparinen J.
55. Manza M.
18. Vandeven J.
8. Sewell C.
14. van Gorp E. (A)
2. Sgro A.
24. Wood C.
49. Spencer L.
71. Zakharov M.
14. Van Volsen J. (A)
11. Zocco T.
11. Walos E.
Substitutes
78. Medvedev A. (G)
31. Osipenko K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
02:16, 0 - 1, Aucoin K. (G), Holmes P. (A), Gaughan C. (A2)
12:29, 1 - 1, Bidgood C. (G), Harmer C. (A), Piiparinen J. (A2)
12:58, 2 - 1, Zocco T. (G), Nordmark M. (A),
14:33, 2 - 2, Van Volsen J. (G), Sgro A. (A), Lammens B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:09, 2 - 3, Katolicky S. (G), Walos E. (A), Aucoin C. (A2)
16:40, 3 - 3, Bidgood C. (G), Zakharov M. (A), Zocco T. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:19, 4 - 3, Piiparinen J. (G), Bidgood C. (A), Brown R. (A2)
04:37, 5 - 3, Zocco T. (G), Nordmark M. (A), Wood C. (A2)
07:38, 6 - 3, Barch K. (G), Cover J. (A), Campeau A. (A2)
17:59, 6 - 4, Challenger T. (G), Walos E. (A), Aucoin C. (A2)
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 7th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, London won 3.
In recent outings, London has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sarnia has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to London for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for London in today's match, at odds of 1.54.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, London has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 95:48 (averaging 4.8:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for London against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 44:21 goals (averaging 4.9:2.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
London Knights - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.18%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
Sarnia Sting - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 21.71%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Cooke B. (G) 
Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G) 
Beaulieu R. 
Gulbrandsen J. 
Katolicky S. 
Nordmark M. 
Piiparinen J. 
Wood C. 
Spencer L. 
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