The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarnia Sting 30.7%
Draw 20.1%
London Knights 49.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.1%
20.8%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
22.5%
46.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
London Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for London Knights than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Sarnia Sting - London Knights Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
78. Medvedev A. (G)
6. Aucoin C. (A)
10. Barch K.
33. Aucoin K.
34. Bidgood C. (A)
18. Campbell D.
43. Brown R. (C)
84. Challenger T.
96. Campeau A.
17. Di Iorio A. (C)
87. Cover J.
41. Emerton C.
23. Harmer C.
71. Gaughan C.
55. Kapageridis J.
27. Gulbrandsen J.
66. Leet B.
26. Hawery L.
29. Le Gallic E.
53. Holmes P. (A)
44. McAslan C.
9. Jaworski S.
77. Mitchell C.
24. Katolicky S.
57. Nordmark M.
93. Lammens B.
92. Piiparinen J.
55. Manza M.
37. Ritson J.
8. Sewell C.
18. Vandeven J.
2. Sgro A.
14. van Gorp E. (A)
14. Van Volsen J. (A)
24. Wood C.
11. Walos E.
11. Zocco T.
Substitutes
31. Osipenko K. (G)
33. Cooke B. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
04:43, 1 - 0, Gulbrandsen J. (G), Walos E. (A),
07:58, 1 - 1, Nordmark M. (G), Cover J. (A), Brown R. (A2)
11:33, 2 - 1, Van Volsen J. (G), Walos E. (A), Emerton C. (A2)
18:59, 2 - 2, Brown R. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:21, 2 - 3, Brown R. (G), Nordmark M. (A), Cover J. (A2)
01:42, 2 - 4, Wood C. (G), Zocco T. (A), Kapageridis J. (A2)
08:27, 3 - 4, Di Iorio A. (G), Walos E. (A), Campbell D. (A2)
09:21, 4 - 4, Katolicky S. (G), Lammens B. (A), Aucoin C. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
08:03, 5 - 4, Hawery L. (G), Di Iorio A. (A), Van Volsen J. (A2)
10:40, 6 - 4, Hawery L. (G), Campbell D. (A), Walos E. (A2)
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Sarnia (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by London have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
London could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
London is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sarnia has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:94 (averaging 2.2:4.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sarnia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 23:50 goals (averaging 2.1:4.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sarnia Sting - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 29.13%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
London Knights - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.04%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G) 
Aucoin C. (A) 
Bidgood C. (A) 
Gulbrandsen J. 
Katolicky S. 
Nordmark M. 
Piiparinen J. 
Wood C. 
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