Match Info

OHL

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Progressive Auto Sales Arena (Sarnia, ON)


	Sarnia Sting		London Knights

	1	X	2
	3.08	4.12	1.92	Watch
	3.3	4.2	1.75
	3.05	4.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.33)	4.24 ↓ (4.48)	1.82 ↑ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarnia Sting
28.9%

Draw
21.4%

London Knights
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

20.5%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

21.4%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

London Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for London Knights than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Osipenko K. (G)	80. Gatto S. (G)
6. Aucoin C.	34. Bidgood C.
33. Aucoin K.	43. Brown R.
61. Bax J.	2. Brzustewicz H. (A)
40. Beamish L.	11. Clark B.
84. Challenger T.	6. Cook B.
17. Di Iorio A. (C)	87. Cover J.
81. Edwards B. (A)	21. Crete M.
71. Gaughan C.	4. Fimis A.
10. Hall C.	27. Funck L.
77. Hurt H. (A)	72. Hawkins K.
93. Lammens B.	77. Mitchell C.
55. Manza M.	73. Nicholl W.
12. Pickell B.	44. Nurmi J.
7. Reese J.	17. Sokolovsky M.
19. Solomon H.	55. van Bommel R.
14. Van Volsen J.	14. van Gorp E.
11. Walos E.	66. Wassilyn B.
5. Young M. (A)	92. Xu J.
	71. Zakharov M.
Substitutes
32. Quinlan P. (G)	78. Medvedev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
05:47, 0 - 1, Cover J. (G), van Bommel R. (A), Wassilyn B. (A2)
06:10, 0 - 2, Nicholl W. (G), Bidgood C. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
17:05, 1 - 2, Pickell B. (G), Di Iorio A. (A),
17:42, 1 - 3, Mitchell C. (G), Cook B. (A), Hawkins K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:07, 1 - 4, Brzustewicz H. (G),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

London may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

London is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 45:94. (average 2.3:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarnia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:51. (average 2.1:4.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnia Sting
OHL
15.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	2:5 ✺
11.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Kingston Frontenacs	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	9:1 ✺
07.01.26	Flint Firebirds - Sarnia Sting	7:4 ✺
02.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Owen Sound Attack	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL
- London Knights
OHL
10.01.26	London Knights - Erie Otters	4:1 ✺
09.01.26	London Knights - Brantford Bulldogs	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Oshawa Generals - London Knights	4:5 ✺
02.01.26	London Knights - Flint Firebirds	0:5 ✺
31.12.25	London Knights - Sarnia Sting	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
31.12.25	London Knights - Sarnia Sting	1:5
28.12.25	Sarnia Sting - London Knights	1:3
26.10.25	Sarnia Sting - London Knights	0:3
11.10.25	London Knights - Sarnia Sting	5:4 OT
09.03.25	Sarnia Sting - London Knights	0:9
01.01.25	Sarnia Sting - London Knights	3:2 OT
31.12.24	London Knights - Sarnia Sting	9:3

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