The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 39.7%
Draw 22%
Lausanne HC 38.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.1%
21.9%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
23.4%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Lausanne HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne HC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Lugano - Lausanne HC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Schlegel N. (G)
33. Pasche K. (G)
60. Thomson L.
20. Fora M. (A)
25. Muller M. (A)
81. Baragano I.
19. Kupari R.
9. Riat D. (C)
21. Sanford Z.
11. Suomela A.
12. Innala J.
14. Fuchs J.
Line 2
26. Aebischer D.
91. Heldner F.
9. Zanetti B.
5. Carrick C.
17. Fazzini L. (C)
89. Ruegsegger S.
73. Shore N.
23. Kurashev P.
15. Lycksell O.
96. Caggiula D. (A)
Line 3
45. Maurer M.
67. Vouardoux N.
22. Alatalo S. (A)
13. Sansonnens B.
91. Olsson D.
28. Simic A.
7. Tanner R.
92. Vidal T.
27. Henry C.
12. Zehnder Y.
Line 4
65. Cjunskis H.
58. Loeffel R.
11. Zanetti M.
66. Fiedler C.
23. Morini G.
4. Holdener M.
13. Peltonen A.
71. Bougro B.
15. Fuhrer L.
Substitutes
72. Besanidis A.
70. Huet E. (G)
88. Mayer R. (G)
Coaches
. Mitell T.
. Ward G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
03:52, 1 - 0, Fazzini L. (G),
07:23, Caggiula D. (2 min),
13:53, Maurer M. (2 min),
18:15, 2 - 0, Lycksell O. (G), Muller M. (A), Fazzini L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:37, Holdener M. (2 min),
06:38, 3 - 0, Fazzini L. (G),
10:32, 4 - 0, Sanford Z. (G), Kupari R. (A),
12:49, Thomson L. (2 min),
18:55, Riat D. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
06:47, Tanner R. (2 min),
09:19, Fuhrer L. (2 min),
17:13, Carrick C. (2 min),
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 12th and 7th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 3.
Lugano is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Lausanne HC have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Lugano has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lugano has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:63 (averaging 3.2:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 25:26 goals (averaging 2.8:2.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Lausanne
19
7
1
1
10
56:67
24
11
Lugano
17
6
1
2
8
53:58
22
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Lausanne: 8.7% Lugano: 4.38%
Last Results with these Odds
Lausanne HC - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
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Schlegel N. (G) 
Thomson L. 
Sanford Z. 
Lycksell O. 
Caggiula D. (A) 
Olsson D. 
Vidal T. 
Cjunskis H. 
Zanetti M. 
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