The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 51.1%
Draw 20.9%
Lausanne HC 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
22.3%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
24.4%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugano's performance.
Lausanne HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lausanne HC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lugano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne HC than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lausanne HC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugano - Lausanne HC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Schlegel N. (G)
33. Pasche K. (G)
26. Aebischer D.
81. Baragano I.
63. Dahlstrom C.
26. Brannstrom E.
94. Simion D.
9. Riat D. (C)
97. Thurkauf C. (C)
90. Rochette T.
18. Valk C.
96. Caggiula D.
Line 2
22. Alatalo S.
8. Niku S.
52. Peltonen J.
7. Marti A.
17. Fazzini L.
27. Czarnik A.
21. Sanford Z.
11. Suomela A.
12. Peltonen A.
24. Kahun D.
Line 3
58. Carrick C.
91. Heldner F.
9. Zanetti B.
13. Sansonnens B.
11. Zanetti M.
14. Fuchs J.
19. Kupari R.
17. Jager K.
10. Sekac J.
12. Zehnder Y.
Line 4
81. Togni E.
67. Vouardoux N.
13. Bertaggia A.
66. Fiedler C.
23. Morini G.
18. Prassl R.
7. Tanner R.
71. Bougro B.
72. Douay F.
Substitutes
27. Henry C.
31. Hughes C. (G)
37. Van Pottelberghe J. (G)
Coaches
. Mitell T.
. Ward G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
14:15, 0 - 1, Bougro B. (G), Douay F. (A),
15:36, Morini G. (2 min),
16:15, Niku S. (2 min),
17:26, 0 - 2, Kahun D. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:34, Bertaggia A. (2 min),
11:06, 0 - 3, Heldner F. (G), Zehnder Y. (A), Fuchs J. (A2)
17:11, Jager K. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:45, Bertaggia A. (2 min),
13:35, 1 - 3, Henry C. (G), Carrick C. (A), Alatalo S. (A2)
13:35, (2 min),
17:21, (2 min),
18:10, 1 - 4, Rochette T. (G),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Lausanne HC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lugano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 62:65. (average 3.1:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 2.8:2.9).
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Lausanne: 11.68% Lugano: 5.51%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Lugano
9
3
1
1
4
33:31
12
10
Lausanne
10
3
1
1
5
30:37
12
Last Results with these Odds
Lugano - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Lausanne HC - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Switzerland
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Schlegel N. (G) 
Dahlstrom C. 
Valk C. 
Caggiula D. 
Niku S. 
Czarnik A. 
Kahun D. 
Zanetti M. 
Sekac J. 
Bougro B. 
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