Match Info

Liiga

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kivikylan Areena (Rauma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Lukko		Kiekko-Espoo

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5
	1.65	4.3	4.55
	1.68	4.15	4.31
	1.69	4.18	4.31	Watch
	1.62	4	3.9
	1.7	4.4	4.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	4.17 ↓ (4.59)	4.35 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko
56.1%

Draw
22.4%

Kiekko-Espoo
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

20.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

20.8%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Lukko - Kiekko Espoo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Ortio J. (G)	30. Rimpinen P. (G)
9. Stenqvist J.	51. Nakyva K.
38. Almari N.	3. Keskitalo M. (A)
16. Beaucage A.	72. Svejkovsky L.
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)	78. Tuomaala A.
24. Krannila J.	17. Talvitie A.
Line 2
86. Gelinas E. (C)	21. Peltomaki N.
5. Peters A.	55. Aronsson A.
88. Morand A.	4. Kangasniemi I.
21. Ford C.	8. Hillis C.
18. Jandric S.	16. Vaisanen J.
Line 3
34. Viitasalo N.	26. Kulonummi K.
56. Olsson A.	34. Laakso A.
27. Westerholm Po.	87. Komarov L.
14. Intonen A.	14. Stevens J. (A)
25. Saarela A.	40. Sallinen T.
Line 4
40. Daschke D.	7. Jurmo J.
48. Ikonen H. (A)	25. Puolanne E.
17. Westerholm Pa.	75. Virtanen S. (C)
47. Haapanen T.	18. Leppanen O.
Substitutes
30. Salonen D. (G)	35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
Coaches
. Lamsa T.	. Aho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
14:29, Nakyva K. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
06:45, Gelinas E. (2 min),
06:45, Komarov L. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:16, 0 - 1, Leppanen O. (G), Puolanne E. (A), Virtanen S. (A2)
04:28, Peters A. (2 min),
19:55, 1 - 1, Daschke D. (G), Ford C. (A), Morand A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Stevens J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Ruohomaa M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Svejkovsky L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Beaucage A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hillis C. (Penalty Shot),
3, Morand A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 4.

Lukko is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kiekko-Espoo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lukko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kiekko-Espoo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lukko is a strong favorite.

We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Kiekko-Espoo: 3.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Lukko	11	6	1	0	4	29:23	20
7	Kiekko-Espoo	13	5	1	3	4	42:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Lukko - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.37%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
06.03.26	Lukko - KooKoo	4:2 ✺
04.03.26	TPS - Lukko	3:4 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Lukko - Pelicans	2:5 ✺
25.02.26	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
10.03.26	Ässät - Kiekko-Espoo	0:4 ✺
04.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - JYP	2:3 OT ✺
28.02.26	Vaasan Sport - Kiekko-Espoo	1:5 ✺
25.02.26	JYP - Kiekko-Espoo	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
18.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	2:3 OT
27.09.25	Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 penalties
26.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	4:2
22.01.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	2:4
03.01.25	Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 OT
07.12.24	Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo	1:4
23.10.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	1:4

Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide