The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lukko 46.8%
Draw 23.6%
Kiekko-Espoo 29.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.6%
25.4%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
26%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Lukko - Kiekko Espoo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Salonen D. (G)
30. Rimpinen P. (G)
9. Stenqvist J.
8. Corcoran C.
27. Seppala P.
51. Nakyva K.
16. Beaucage A.
72. Svejkovsky L.
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
24. Lajunen J. (A)
18. Liedes H. (C)
76. Sallinen J. (C)
Line 2
34. Viitasalo N.
47. Lajunen V. (A)
43. Valila A.
55. Kotkansalo K.
87. Saarela A. (A)
77. From M.
91. Robert F.
78. Tuomaala A.
25. Saarela A.
4. Kangasniemi I.
Line 3
56. Olsson A.
21. Peltomaki N.
15. Tukiainen J.
5. Aronsson A.
6. Tuuva L.
12. Oberg L.
29. Vanninen A.
15. King C.
90. Hamalainen L.
16. Vaisanen J.
Line 4
19. Floris J.
14. Keinanen J.
48. Ikonen H.
17. Talvitie A.
24. Krannila J.
28. Hamalainen J.
47. Haapanen T.
Substitutes
57. Mensonen J.
25. Puolanne E.
32. Raanta A. (G)
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
Coaches
. Lamsa T.
. Aho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
09:27, 1 - 0, Robert F. (G), Valila A. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
10:23, 2 - 0, Tuuva L. (G), Haapanen T. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
15:10, Sallinen J. (2 min),
15:13, Tuuva L. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
00:29, Ruohomaa M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:20, 2 - 1, Vaisanen J. (G), King C. (A), Oberg L. (A2)
16:04, Lajunen V. (2 min),
17:53, 3 - 1, Krannila J. (G), Robert F. (A), Valila A. (A2)
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
Lukko has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kiekko-Espoo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lukko may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Lukko has faced a series of away games on the road.
Lukko is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Lukko in today's match, at odds of 2.03.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Lukko has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:19 (averaging 2.6:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lukko against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:10 goals (averaging 2:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Lukko
19
11
3
1
4
53:36
40
9
Kiekko-Espoo
19
7
2
3
7
58:49
28
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Kiekko-Espoo: 3.67%
Last Results with these Odds
Lukko - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.63%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.