The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TPS 43.6%
Draw 23.9%
Kiekko-Espoo 32.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.2%
22.6%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
23.8%
32.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
TPS - Kiekko Espoo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Ruusu M. (G)
30. Rimpinen P. (G)
6. Rafkin R. (A)
8. Corcoran C.
44. Lindbohm P.
51. Nakyva K.
49. Wernblom L.
72. Svejkovsky L.
97. Haudum L.
24. Lajunen J. (A)
22. Bryggman L. (A)
76. Sallinen J. (C)
Line 2
38. Landen A.
47. Lajunen V. (A)
40. Lehtonen S.
55. Kotkansalo K.
25. Ikonen Jo.
12. Oberg L.
86. Yliniemi S.
15. King C.
24. Virtanen J.
16. Vaisanen J.
Line 3
2. Tuhkala A.
21. Peltomaki N.
61. Binner A.
5. Aronsson A.
10. Ylitalo N.
77. From M.
13. Paajanen O. (C)
78. Tuomaala A.
19. Savinainen V.
4. Kangasniemi I.
Line 4
7. Lauridsen O.
43. Vikla A.
84. Pikkarainen K.
90. Salovaara E.
21. Maatta J.
17. Talvitie A.
57. Munkki V.
28. Hamalainen J.
Substitutes
9. Koivu A.
25. Puolanne E.
32. Vali N. (G)
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
Coaches
. Soderholm T.
. Aho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
09:45, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
15:04, 0 - 1, Salovaara E. (G), Puolanne E. (A),
16:01, Nakyva K. (2 min),
16:55, 1 - 1, Yliniemi S. (G), Tuhkala A. (A), Savinainen V. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:35, 2 - 1, Landen A. (G), Bryggman L. (A), Haudum L. (A2)
08:18, 2 - 2, Kangasniemi I. (G), Lajunen J. (A), Corcoran C. (A2)
13:37, 3 - 2, Virtanen J. (G), Ikonen Jo. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:45, (2 min),
05:57, Ikonen Jo. (2 min),
15:50, Corcoran C. (2 min),
19:22, 4 - 2, Maatta J. (G), Munkki V. (A),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
TPS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, TPS has faced a series of away games on the road.
TPS is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, TPS has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:33 (averaging 2.4:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for TPS against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:13 goals (averaging 2.8:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
TPS Turku
18
8
1
2
7
51:47
28
10
Kiekko-Espoo
18
6
2
3
7
54:48
25
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
TPS Turku: 5.3% Kiekko-Espoo: 3.79%
Last Results with these Odds
TPS - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.2%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Ruusu M. (G) 
Corcoran C. 
Wernblom L. 
Svejkovsky L. 
Haudum L. 
From M. 
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