Match Info

Liiga

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Gatorade Center (Turku)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	TPS		Kiekko-Espoo

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.3	3.2
	1.84	4.15	3.72
	1.87	4	3.74	Watch
	1.8	3.9	3.25
	1.88	4.25	3.4	Watch
	1.9	3.85	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.06)	4.08 ↓ (4.23)	3.49 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TPS
50.2%

Draw
23%

Kiekko-Espoo
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

22.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

21.9%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

TPS - Kiekko Espoo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Makiniemi E. (G)	35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
38. Landen A.	6. Laatikainen M.
7. Lauridsen O. (A)	51. Nakyva K.
49. Wernblom L.	89. Quenneville P.
86. Yliniemi S.	78. Tuomaala A.
19. Savinainen V.	28. Hamalainen J.
Line 2
6. Rafkin R.	21. Peltomaki N.
40. Lehtonen S.	7. Jurmo J.
87. Saarela A.	88. Rask J. (C)
21. Maatta J. (A)	8. Hillis C.
82. Pakkila E.	4. Kangasniemi I.
Line 3
2. Tuhkala A.	2. Arkiomaa V.
66. Reunanen T. (C)	34. Laakso A.
98. Teissala L.	18. Leppanen O.
24. Virtanen J.	75. Virtanen S. (A)
22. Soderlund T.	40. Sallinen T.
Line 4
5. Sjoholm V.	22. Katavisto A.
10. Ylitalo N.	37. Hirschovits J.
91. Parssinen J.	16. Vaisanen J.
67. Ruokonen M.
Substitutes
32. Vali N. (G)	1. Karjalainen A. (G)
Coaches
. Soderholm T.	. Aho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
00:54, Maatta J. (2 min),
09:44, Hillis C. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:42, 0 - 1, Nakyva K. (G), Leppanen O. (A), Virtanen S. (A2)
08:44, Hamalainen J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
02:51, Vaisanen J. (2 min),
13:21, Hamalainen J. (2 min),
13:21, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
13:21, Sjoholm V. (2 min),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 3.

Recent performances by TPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kiekko-Espoo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, TPS has had a series of home games.

TPS could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, TPS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 2.9:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 3.4:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

TPS - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.86%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.81%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TPS hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
20.12.25	TPS - HIFK	4:3 ✺
19.12.25	HIFK - TPS	3:4 OT ✺
13.12.25	TPS - Tappara	3:5 ✺
11.12.25	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	TPS - JYP	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWL
- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
20.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves	2:5 ✺
19.12.25	Ilves - Kiekko-Espoo	5:0 ✺
17.12.25	Kärpät - Kiekko-Espoo	4:3 ✺
13.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Pelicans	2:3 ✺
10.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo - HPK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
03.12.25	TPS - Kiekko-Espoo	5:0
12.11.25	Kiekko-Espoo - TPS	2:4
05.03.25	Kiekko-Espoo - TPS	2:1 OT
24.01.25	TPS - Kiekko-Espoo	4:3 OT
11.12.24	Kiekko-Espoo - TPS	4:1
14.09.24	TPS - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.09.24	TPS - Kiekko-Espoo	1:4

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