The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tappara 54.4%
Draw 21.7%
Lukko 23.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
23.4%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
24.8%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tappara's performance.
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tappara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Tappara - Lukko Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Lukko will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Heljanko C. (G)
31. Ortio J. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.
9. Stenqvist J.
23. Jokipakka J.
38. Almari N.
11. Simontaival K.
16. Beaucage A.
20. Keskinen O.
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
27. Tanus K.
24. Krannila J.
Line 2
44. Juolevi O.
86. Gelinas E. (C)
26. Mattila Je.
5. Peters A.
88. Blichfeld J.
88. Morand A.
22. Rasanen A.
21. Ford C.
78. Rautiainen B.
18. Jandric S.
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)
34. Viitasalo N.
6. Brickley D.
56. Olsson A.
82. Tuulola E.
27. Westerholm Po.
42. Rauhala O. (C)
14. Intonen A.
25. Haapala H.
25. Saarela A.
Line 4
15. Andersson J.
40. Daschke D.
51. Sylvegard E.
48. Ikonen H. (A)
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
17. Westerholm Pa.
24. Addamo J.
47. Haapanen T.
Substitutes
77. Metsola J. (G)
32. Raanta A. (G)
Coaches
. Gronborg R.
. Lamsa T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
00:29, 1 - 0, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A),
03:29, 2 - 0, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
09:25, 3 - 0, Brickley D. (G), Andersson J. (A), Mattila Ju. (A2)
16:34, 3 - 1, Ruohomaa M. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:58, 4 - 1, Simontaival K. (G), Keskinen O. (A), Tanus K. (A2)
13:11, Matinmikko A. (2 min),
16:53, 4 - 2, Ikonen H. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A), Daschke D. (A2)
18:46, Stenqvist J. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:58, Saarela A. (2 min),
10:45, Daschke D. (2 min),
11:22, 5 - 2, Rasanen A. (G), Tuulola E. (A), Blichfeld J. (A2)
13:33, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
17:21, 6 - 2, Rautiainen B. (G), Blichfeld J. (A), Rasanen A. (A2)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Tappara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Lukko has had a series of home games.
In this match, Tappara is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 66:42. (average 3.3:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:24. (average 4:2.4).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 25.28%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Lukko
11
6
1
0
4
29:23
20
9
Tappara
11
5
2
0
4
32:24
19
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 47.99%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Heljanko C. (G) 
Stenqvist J. 
Beaucage A. 
Blichfeld J. 
Ford C. 
Addamo J. 
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