The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tappara 51.6%
Draw 23.2%
Lukko 25.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.3%
23.5%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
25.7%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
The chances for Lukko have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Tappara - Lukko Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Heljanko C. (G)
32. Raanta A. (G)
26. Mattila Je.
9. Stenqvist J.
23. Jokipakka J.
27. Seppala P.
21. Lindqvist M.
16. Beaucage A.
22. Rasanen A.
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
78. Rautiainen B.
18. Liedes H. (C)
Line 2
72. Kulonummi K.
34. Viitasalo N.
38. Almari N.
43. Valila A.
11. Simontaival K.
87. Saarela A. (A)
89. Suvanto O.
91. Robert F.
25. Haapala H.
25. Saarela A.
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)
56. Olsson A.
33. Strandell O.
15. Tukiainen J.
87. Fabre D.
6. Tuuva L.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
75. Virtanen S.
40. Sallinen T.
90. Hamalainen L.
Line 4
5. Rasanen I.
19. Floris J.
41. Nykanen J.
48. Ikonen H.
42. Rauhala O. (C)
24. Krannila J.
17. Pavel O.
47. Haapanen T.
Substitutes
77. Metsola J. (G)
30. Salonen D. (G)
28. Wia W.
29. Vanninen A.
Coaches
. Jalonen K.
. Lamsa T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
12:33, 1 - 0, Suvanto O. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Haapala H. (A2)
18:09, Rautiainen B. (Penalty Shot),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:28, Simontaival K. (2 min),
13:52, 1 - 1, Seppala P. (G), Beaucage A. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:54, 1 - 2, Beaucage A. (G), Olsson A. (A), Tukiainen J. (A2)
11:37, Simontaival K. (2 min),
11:37, Robert F. (2 min),
13:31, Sallinen T. (2 min),
13:31, Saarela A. (2 min),
13:59, Lindqvist M. (2 min),
17:29, Rautiainen B. (2 min),
19:57, Saarela A. (2 min),
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 4.
Tappara is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Lukko have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tappara may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Lukko has had a run of games away from home.
Bookmakers give the edge to Tappara for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tappara has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 68:42 (averaging 3.4:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 41:23 goals (averaging 4.1:2.3 per game).
Finland
Sweden
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Heljanko C. (G) 
Stenqvist J. 
Beaucage A. 
Fabre D. 
Floris J. 
Pavel O. 
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