The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JYP 41.3%
Draw 23.7%
Lukko 34.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.3%
24.6%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
25%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
JYP - Lukko Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)
30. Salonen D. (G)
44. Vatanen S.
9. Stenqvist J.
31. Peltola E. (A)
27. Seppala P.
77. Tukiainen L.
16. Beaucage A.
28. Lassila J. (C)
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
14. Costmar A.
18. Liedes H. (C)
Line 2
63. Bourque T.
34. Viitasalo N.
3. Arola J.
43. Valila A.
39. Ojantakanen V.
87. Saarela A. (A)
8. Newkirk R.
91. Robert F.
82. Pesonen H. (A)
25. Saarela A.
Line 3
17. Makinen O.
15. Tukiainen J.
32. Setkov M.
56. Olsson A.
92. Vidgren A.
23. Trakht D.
7. True A.
75. Virtanen S.
40. Torgersson D.
57. Mensonen J.
Line 4
36. Vilander V.
19. Floris J.
29. Raisanen E.
48. Ikonen H.
16. Liljamo T.
24. Krannila J.
43. Jaatinen O.
47. Haapanen T.
27. Korjus J.
Substitutes
35. Salminen O. (G)
90. Hamalainen L.
32. Raanta A. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.
. Lamsa T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:19, 0 - 1, Valila A. (G), Viitasalo N. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
06:06, Saarela A. (2 min),
07:52, Pesonen H. (2 min),
16:47, 1 - 1, Peltola E. (G), Setkov M. (A), True A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:59, Vidgren A. (2 min),
08:13, Vatanen S. (2 min),
11:49, Stenqvist J. (2 min),
14:59, 1 - 2, Valila A. (G), Saarela A. (A), Robert F. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:10, 2 - 2, Ojantakanen V. (G), Bourque T. (A), Newkirk R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Newkirk R. (Penalty Shot),
1, Beaucage A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Ojantakanen V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Krannila J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Pesonen H. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ruohomaa M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 3.
JYP has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lukko is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
JYP may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, JYP has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, JYP has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:72 (averaging 2.7:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JYP against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 29:36 goals (averaging 3.2:4 per game).
Finland
Sweden
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Setanen O. (G) 
Stenqvist J. 
Beaucage A. 
Setkov M. 
Trakht D. 
Floris J. 
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