Match Info

Liiga

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: LähiTapiola Areena (Jyväskylä)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2


	JYP		Lukko

	1	X	2
	2.3	4	2.5
	2.25	4	2.6
	2.47	3.86	2.57	Watch
	2.57	3.55	2.41
	2.4	3.8	2.6	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.4
	2.46	4.2	2.38	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)	3.84 ↑ (3.7)	2.51 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

JYP
38.7%

Draw
24.2%

Lukko
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

27.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

JYP - Lukko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. JYP (votes: 2 - 50%). Lukko (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)	30. Salonen D. (G)
44. Vatanen S. (A)	9. Stenqvist J.
31. Peltola E.	38. Almari N.
24. Huttu E.	16. Beaucage A.
7. True A.	93. Ruohomaa M.
14. Perttu M.	24. Krannila J.
Line 2
63. Bourque T.	86. Gelinas E. (C)
29. Winberg T.	5. Peters A.
39. Ojantakanen V.	6. Tuuva L.
28. Lassila J. (C)	88. Morand A.
40. Torgersson D.	18. Jandric S.
Line 3
18. Jokinen R.	34. Viitasalo N.
4. Liikonen V.	56. Olsson A.
25. Jormakka P.	27. Westerholm Po.
17. Makinen O.	17. Westerholm Pa.
71. Puustinen J. (A)	25. Saarela A.
Line 4
2. Pulli J.	43. Valila A.
91. Nieminen V.	47. Haapanen T.
89. Tyrvainen A.	14. Intonen A.
92. Vidgren A.	48. Ikonen H.
Substitutes
35. Salminen O. (G)	32. Raanta A. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.	. Lamsa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
00:24, 1 - 0, Vatanen S. (G), Lassila J. (A), Ojantakanen V. (A2)
01:29, Saarela A. (2 min),
09:54, 2 - 0, True A. (G),
12:38, Morand A. (2 min),
13:09, 3 - 0, Puustinen J. (G), Nieminen V. (A), Vatanen S. (A2)
14:37, Peters A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:09, Huttu E. (2 min),
16:05, Westerholm Po. (2 min),
16:09, 4 - 0, Ojantakanen V. (G), Puustinen J. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
18:56, 4 - 1, Stenqvist J. (G), Ikonen H. (A), Intonen A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:00, Ikonen H. (2 min),
16:05, 4 - 2, Morand A. (G), Jandric S. (A), Gelinas E. (A2)
19:31, 4 - 3, Saarela A. (G), Tuuva L. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 1.

Recent performances by JYP have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lukko has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

JYP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that JYP will win today's game, with odds of 2.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 48:76. (average 2.4:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:37. (average 3.1:4.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30:25	21
6	Lukko	11	6	1	0	4	29:23	20

Last Results with these Odds

JYP - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Lukko - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
24.01.26	KalPa - JYP	1:0 penalties ✺
21.01.26	SaiPa - JYP	2:3 OT ✺
16.01.26	JYP - Vaasan Sport	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Ilves - JYP	3:4 penalties ✺
10.01.26	JYP - KalPa	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWL
- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
24.01.26	Lukko - Ässät	3:5 ✺
23.01.26	Ässät - Lukko	2:1 OT ✺
17.01.26	Vaasan Sport - Lukko	6:1 ✺
16.01.26	Kärpät - Lukko	5:4 OT ✺
13.01.26	Lukko - Pelicans	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
21.11.25	JYP - Lukko	4:3 OT
10.10.25	Lukko - JYP	4:2
12.03.25	Lukko - JYP	3:2 OT
28.12.24	JYP - Lukko	2:5
13.11.24	JYP - Lukko	2:5
01.10.24	Lukko - JYP	4:2
12.03.24	JYP - Lukko	5:4 penalties

JYP - Lukko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide