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Current Win Probability
Ilves 47%
Draw 23.3%
Lukko 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
23.2%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
24.8%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Ilves - Lukko Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
65. Rifalk C. (G)
30. Salonen D. (G)
27. Strand A.
9. Stenqvist J.
57. Parikka J.
27. Seppala P.
29. Looke J.
16. Beaucage A.
92. Henman L. (A)
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
46. Torok M.
18. Liedes H. (C)
Line 2
43. Latvala O.
34. Viitasalo N.
6. Sund T.
43. Valila A.
67. Haatanen A.
87. Saarela A. (A)
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
91. Robert F.
25. Hynninen T.
25. Saarela A.
Line 3
77. Loof L.
15. Tukiainen J.
28. Nyberg J.
56. Olsson A.
86. Heikkinen I.
6. Tuuva L.
19. Lantta J.
75. Virtanen S.
71. Korhonen B.
90. Hamalainen L.
Line 4
3. Utunen T.
19. Floris J.
15. Kos O.
48. Ikonen H.
11. Borg E. (A)
24. Krannila J.
22. Engberg T.
47. Haapanen T.
Substitutes
40. Armalis M. (G)
1. Kartano M. (G)
38. Teuho-Markkola T.
29. Vanninen A.
Coaches
. Niemela T.
. Lamsa T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
14:22, 0 - 1, Saarela A. (G), Tukiainen J. (A), Olsson A. (A2)
15:09, 0 - 2, Viitasalo N. (G), Robert F. (A),
15:23, Haatanen A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:27, Lantta J. (2 min),
07:05, 0 - 3, Saarela A. (G),
07:50, 1 - 3, Henman L. (G), Sund T. (A), Looke J. (A2)
14:24, Robert F. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
11:03, 1 - 4, Robert F. (G), Saarela A. (A), Seppala P. (A2)
13:20, (2 min),
16:59, 1 - 5, Olsson A. (G),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 7th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Ilves may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ilves has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ilves holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 58:54 (averaging 2.9:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 31:22 goals (averaging 3.4:2.4 per game).