Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Lukko U20		Ässät U20

	1	X	2
	3.15	4.01	1.75
	3.13	4.12	1.9	Watch
	3.25	4.2	1.75
	3.49	4.05	1.77
	3.05	4.4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.17)	4.16 ↑ (3.85)	1.79 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
28%

Draw
21.6%

Ässät U20
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

23.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

25.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ässät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ässät U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lukko U20 - Ässät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (4 - 3)
00:33, 1 - 0, Vechet P. (G), Julkunen A. (A),
02:52, 1 - 1, Koski L. (G), Huhtanen E. (A),
03:28, 2 - 1, Akusti S. (G),
04:40, 2 - 2, Eskola P. (G), Koski L. (A),
06:39, 3 - 2, Piirainen M. (G), Paju A. (A),
10:02, 3 - 3, Kamarainen R. (G), Kim A. (A), Tikkanen T. (A2)
11:32, 4 - 3, Floris J. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:40, 4 - 4, Tikkanen T. (G), Kim A. (A),
18:12, 5 - 4, Pulakka V. (G), Vechet P. (A), Schwarz J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 3.

Lukko U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ässät U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ässät U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ässät U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 56:58. (average 2.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:32. (average 3.5:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Lukko U20	11	7	1	0	3	35:25	23
14	Assat U20	12	1	4	1	6	32:39	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
30.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Lukko U20	6:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lukko U20 - Ilves U20	2:5 ✺
23.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Lukko U20	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Lukko U20 - KalPa U20	3:4 penalties ✺
16.01.26	Lukko U20 - Pelicans U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Ässät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
31.01.26	Ässät U20 - Ilves U20	3:5 ✺
30.01.26	Ässät U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:4 ✺
24.01.26	KalPa U20 - Ässät U20	1:5 ✺
23.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ässät U20	4:5 ✺
17.01.26	Ässät U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
12.09.25	Lukko U20 - Ässät U20	2:1 penalties
05.09.25	Ässät U20 - Lukko U20	2:1
21.12.24	Ässät U20 - Lukko U20	3:1
07.12.24	Ässät U20 - Lukko U20	1:4
15.11.24	Lukko U20 - Ässät U20	3:2 OT
14.09.24	Lukko U20 - Ässät U20	5:2
02.09.23	Lukko U20 - Ässät U20	7:2

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