Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Lukko U20		Tappara U20

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.2	2.05
	2.72	3.89	2.16	Watch
	2.6	3.9	2.1
	2.71	3.88	2.12
	2.45	4.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.75)	4.02 ↑ (3.86)	2.11 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
34.9%

Draw
22.4%

Tappara U20
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

23.8%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

23.5%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Tappara U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Lukko U20 - Tappara U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:43, 1 - 0, Floris J. (G), Suominen J. (A), Schwarz J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:16, 1 - 1, Mikkonen D. (G), Rantala J. (A), Selin K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
12:45, 1 - 2, Bernat L. (G), Nissila N. (A), Teuho-Markkola R. (A2)
17:46, 1 - 3, Rajala J. (G), Mikkonen D. (A), Kotajarvi J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 4.

Recent performances by Lukko U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tappara U20's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Tappara U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Lukko U20 will win today's game, with odds of 2.69.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 66:49. (average 3.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 3.3:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Lukko U20	11	7	1	0	3	35:25	23
8	Tappara U20	11	6	0	2	3	34:32	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.12.25	HIFK U20 - Lukko U20	2:5 ✺
19.12.25	Lukko U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	TPS U20 - Lukko U20	4:5 OT ✺
12.12.25	Lukko U20 - JYP U20	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	RoKi U20 - Lukko U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWLL
- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.12.25	JYP U20 - Tappara U20	5:4 penalties ✺
19.12.25	Tappara U20 - RoKi U20	4:5 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Tappara U20	5:2 ✺
04.12.25	Jokerit U20 - Tappara U20	4:5 penalties ✺
03.12.25	Ilves U20 - Tappara U20	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.10.25	Tappara U20 - Lukko U20	1:3
23.03.25	Tappara U20 - Lukko U20	1:2
22.03.25	Lukko U20 - Tappara U20	3:2
20.03.25	Tappara U20 - Lukko U20	0:2
18.03.25	Lukko U20 - Tappara U20	3:5
25.01.25	Lukko U20 - Tappara U20	4:3
24.01.25	Tappara U20 - Lukko U20	3:4

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