Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Krytyy detskiy ledovyy dvorets sporta (Magnitogorsk)


	Magnitka Magnitogorsk		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.26	3.8
	1.72	4.14	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	4.2 ↑ (4.05)	3.95 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
54%

Draw
22.3%

Norilsk
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

23.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

22.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
23. Amirbekov J. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)
21. Yegorov A.	18. Alexeyev D.
37. Gololobov D.	43. Ugolnikov A. (A)
36. Mastryukov A. (A)	56. Mokin N. (A)
15. Grass M.	13. Kaletnik V. (C)
9. Boltanov A. (C)	63. Yemets I.
Line 2
32. Shetle E.	72. Korchemkin D.
51. Poltavchuk N.	98. Abdeyev I.
31. Mirzabalayev A.	71. Golodnyuk S.
18. Tyutnev P.	89. Gorbunov D.
93. Nechayev I.	93. Korenev I.
Line 3
7. Timashov N.	64. Minayev Y.
63. Vaulin M.	28. Makeyev N.
95. Osipovich B.	26. Bain M.
13. Zimin N. (A)	11. Shevchenko V.
99. Kovgorenya A.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 4
14. Medvedev S.	51. Popov O.
77. Kuzyakin A.	55. Alkhimov S.
97. Galenyuk M.	58. Yadykin Y.
98. Fursa A.	97. Leontyev A.
Substitutes
38. Mikhnin D.	88. Smirnov A. (G)
35. Moiseyev G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
09:39, 0 - 1, Popov O. (G), Alkhimov S. (A), Yadykin Y. (A2)
15:57, 1 - 1, Tyutnev P. (G), Nechayev I. (A), Mirzabalayev A. (A2)
16:22, 2 - 1, Mirzabalayev A. (G), Yegorov A. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
16:02, 2 - 2, Alkhimov S. (G), Makeyev N. (A), Leontyev A. (A2)
16:52, 2 - 3, Alexeyev D. (G), Kaletnik V. (A), Mokin N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In recent matches, Magnitka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Norilsk's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Norilsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Magnitka is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Magnitka will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Magnitka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Magnitka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
09.10.25	SKA-VMF - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:4 ✺
07.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4 ✺
01.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:4 ✺
29.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelny	2:3 OT ✺
27.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Bars Kazan	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
12.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
06.10.25	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	0:5 ✺
04.10.25	Norilsk - Khimik	0:4 ✺
02.10.25	Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Norilsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.03.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Norilsk	1:0 OT
03.09.24	Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:2

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