Match Info

VHL

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Magnitka Magnitogorsk		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	2.17	3.40	2.61
	2.12	3.30	2.55
	2.43	3.84	2.53	Watch
	2.30	3.80	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)	3.59 ↓ (3.85)	2.56 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
39.8%

Draw
25.1%

Norilsk
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

23.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

24.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Norilsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Magnitka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Kramzin Y. (G)	77. Guskov Y. (G)
37. Gololobov D.	4. Shalapov Y.
21. Yegorov A.	11. Steklov K.
71. Karapetyan D.	88. Shalagin M. (A)
92. Kadyshev K.	36. Zlodeyev D.
8. Demchenko V. (A)	23. Klimovich Y.
Line 2
32. Shetle E.	43. Sinitsky I.
4. Zhloba N. (C)	66. Drugalya S. (A)
10. Osipovich B.	69. Filin F.
13. Zimin N. (A)	89. Yemets I.
74. Zhugin V.	14. Sinyatkin S.
Line 3
63. Vaulin M.	74. Perelyayev S.
15. Poltavchuk N.	5. Krasnov A.
88. Fateyev Y.	56. Mokin N. (C)
97. Galenyuk M.	10. Lipanov A.
23. Kotkov V.	86. Kirileichenko M.
Line 4
11. Romanov R.	22. Rodionov A.
54. Penzin Y.	28. Shevchenko A.
25. Serazetdinov D.	87. Gorbunov Y.
7. Monakhov A.	71. Rasseikin M.
Substitutes
70. Dyubin A. (G)	70. Voityuk V. (G)
95. Ilyov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:27, 1 - 0, Gololobov D. (G), Osipovich B. (A), Zhugin V. (A2)
17:29, 1 - 1, Filin F. (G), Drugalya S. (A), Gorbunov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:54, 2 - 1, Monakhov A. (G), Vaulin M. (A), Osipovich B. (A2)
14:08, 2 - 2, Klimovich Y. (G), Sinitsky I. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:06, 2 - 3, Kirileichenko M. (G), Sinitsky I. (A), Gorbunov Y. (A2)

Preview

In recent outings, Magnitka has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Norilsk is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Magnitka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Norilsk has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Magnitka has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 2.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Magnitka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	HC Norilsk	20	11	2	2	5	49:43	28
24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	16	5	0	6	5	31:35	16

Last Results with these Odds

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
14.10.26	Kaluga - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:1 ✺
12.10.26	AKM - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Ryazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:3 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Bars Kazan	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWL
- HK Norilsk
VHL
19.10.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	3:2 ✺
12.10.26	Norilsk - Molot Perm	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Norilsk - Toros Neftekamsk	5:3 ✺
08.10.26	Norilsk - Izhstal	3:2 ✺
06.10.26	Norilsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.02.26	Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:4
14.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Norilsk	2:3
12.03.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Norilsk	1:0 OT
03.09.24	Norilsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	5:2

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