Match Info
AHLDate: 8 March 2026, SundayLocation: Canada Life Centre (Winnipeg, MB)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | Flohockey |
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Manitoba Moose |
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Toronto Marlies |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.7 |
4 |
2.05 |
 Watch |
 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
2.22 |
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 |
2.71 |
4.15 |
2.18 |
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 |
2.72 |
4.18 |
2.16 |
Watch |
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2.63 |
3.9 |
2.15 |
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 |
2.72 |
4.18 |
2.17 |
Watch |
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2.48 |
3.75 |
2.43 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.45) |
4.01 ↑
(3.75) |
2.19 ↓
(2.38) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manitoba Moose
34.7% | Draw
23.1% | Toronto Marlies
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manitoba Moose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manitoba Moose, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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32.  Milic T. (G)
| 70.  Akhtyamov A. (G)
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28. Anderson-Dolan J.
| 68.  Barbolini M.
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47. Anhorn D.
| 33. Benning M. (A)
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39. Barlow C.
| 58. Chadwick N.
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4. Barteaux D.
| 29. Groulx B.
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2. Bauer T.
| 43. Haymes L.
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19. Chibrikov N.
| 57. Johnstone M. (A)
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56. Clague K.
| 66. King Ben
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34. Di Giuseppe P. (A)
| 71. Lettieri V.
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7. Duehr W.
| 36. Mermis D.
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20. Empey T.
| 92.  Nylander A.
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16. Fagemo S.
| 56. Pare C.
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25. Ford P.
| 61. Pezzetta M.
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24. Julien J.
| 11. Shaw L. (C)
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3. Phillips I.
| 3. Thrun H.
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6. Sautner A. (A)
| 77. Tverberg R.
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18. Shaw M. (C)
| 39. Valis B.
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29. Yager B.
| 76. Villeneuve W.
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17. Zhilkin D.
| 52. Webber C.
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| Substitutes |
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50. DiVincentiis D. (G)
| 35. Hildeby D. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 10:50, 1 - 0, Ford P. (G), Shaw M. (A), Di Giuseppe P. (A2)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:56. (average 2.7:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Manitoba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).
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Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.37%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AHL | | | 06.03.26 | Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies | 3:2 | | 01.03.25 | Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose | 2:1 penalties | | 23.02.25 | Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose | 1:2 OT | | 19.01.25 | Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies | 0:5 | | 17.01.25 | Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies | 0:3 | | 29.03.24 | Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies | 4:3 | | 27.03.24 | Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies | 1:2 OT |
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