Match Info

AHL

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Canada Life Centre (Winnipeg, MB) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	15:00	Flohockey


	Manitoba Moose		Toronto Marlies

	1	X	2
	2.7	4	2.05	Watch
	2.7	3.9	2.22
	2.71	4.15	2.18
	2.72	4.18	2.16	Watch
	2.63	3.9	2.15
	2.72	4.18	2.17	Watch
	2.48	3.75	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.45)	4.01 ↑ (3.75)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manitoba Moose
34.7%

Draw
23.1%

Toronto Marlies
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

24.4%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manitoba Moose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manitoba Moose, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milic T. (G)	70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
28. Anderson-Dolan J.	68. Barbolini M.
47. Anhorn D.	33. Benning M. (A)
39. Barlow C.	58. Chadwick N.
4. Barteaux D.	29. Groulx B.
2. Bauer T.	43. Haymes L.
19. Chibrikov N.	57. Johnstone M. (A)
56. Clague K.	66. King Ben
34. Di Giuseppe P. (A)	71. Lettieri V.
7. Duehr W.	36. Mermis D.
20. Empey T.	92. Nylander A.
16. Fagemo S.	56. Pare C.
25. Ford P.	61. Pezzetta M.
24. Julien J.	11. Shaw L. (C)
3. Phillips I.	3. Thrun H.
6. Sautner A. (A)	77. Tverberg R.
18. Shaw M. (C)	39. Valis B.
29. Yager B.	76. Villeneuve W.
17. Zhilkin D.	52. Webber C.
Substitutes
50. DiVincentiis D. (G)	35. Hildeby D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
10:50, 1 - 0, Ford P. (G), Shaw M. (A), Di Giuseppe P. (A2)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manitoba won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:56. (average 2.7:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Manitoba won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).

Outrights of AHL for now

Toronto Marlies: 5.48% Manitoba Moose: 2.74%

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.37%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manitoba Moose
AHL
06.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies	3:2 ✺
01.03.26	Milwaukee Admirals - Manitoba Moose	4:3 OT ✺
28.02.26	Milwaukee Admirals - Manitoba Moose	6:2 ✺
25.02.26	Grand Rapids Griffins - Manitoba Moose	2:3 OT ✺
22.02.26	Manitoba Moose - Iowa Wild	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWL
- Toronto Marlies
AHL
06.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies	3:2 ✺
04.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Cleveland Monsters	7:4 ✺
01.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves	5:2 ✺
28.02.26	Toronto Marlies - Chicago Wolves	4:5 penalties ✺
25.02.26	Laval Rocket - Toronto Marlies	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
06.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies	3:2
01.03.25	Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose	2:1 penalties
23.02.25	Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose	1:2 OT
19.01.25	Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies	0:5
17.01.25	Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies	0:3
29.03.24	Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies	4:3
27.03.24	Manitoba Moose - Toronto Marlies	1:2 OT

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