The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Medicine Hat Tigers 37.8%
Draw 19.2%
Spokane Chiefs 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
21.2%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
20.3%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Medicine Hat Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Medicine Hat Tigers's form might have worsened.
Spokane Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spokane Chiefs's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Medicine Hat Tigers than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Medicine Hat Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spokane Chiefs than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spokane Chiefs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Switzer J. (G)
30. Esler C. (G)
10. Bryzgalov Y.
8. Armstrong C.
17. Cunningham C.
23. Buckley T.
34. Davidson N.
12. Burcar G.
11. Gordon-Carroll S.
17. Gillespie B.
6. Heger K.
26. Harrington C.
4. Kor G.
11. Harris C.
5. McCann K. (A)
91. Hughes E.
2. Moss T.
21. Martin O. (A)
20. Parr C.
22. Mattern H.
27. Pickford B. (C)
5. Mayes N.
14. Reschny D.
19. McIntyre O.
12. Ruck L.
18. McIsaac W. (A)
26. Ruck M.
55. Oremba S. (A)
15. Ruptash L.
96. Preston M.
3. Steen R.
77. Pul E.
23. Vaisanen V.
94. Rebman S.
19. Volotovskii M. (A)
47. Sather R.
18. Woo J. (A)
2. Saunderson N.
7. Schoettler O.
Substitutes
30. Casey C. (G)
35. Vieillard L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
03:09, 0 - 1, Harris C. (G), Oremba S. (A), Sather R. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:17, 0 - 2, Pul E. (G),
05:29, 1 - 2, Heger K. (G), Vaisanen V. (A), Bryzgalov Y. (A2)
19:31, 2 - 2, Bryzgalov Y. (G), Vaisanen V. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:38, 3 - 2, Kor G. (G), Bryzgalov Y. (A), Volotovskii M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medicine Hat won 4.
Medicine Hat is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Spokane has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Medicine Hat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Spokane has had a series of home games.
Medicine Hat might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Medicine Hat won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 68:49. (average 4.3:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Medicine Hat won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 4.9:3.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Medicine Hat Tigers - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 48.74%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.