Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)


	Metallurg Magnitogorsk		Vityaz Balashikha

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.9	6.05	Watch
	1.5	4.57	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	4.74 ↑ (4.3)	5.58 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
63.1%

Draw
19.9%

Vityaz Balashikha
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.1%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.7%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Vityaz Balashikha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Vityaz Balashikha Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Nabokov I. (G)	31. Kareyev A. (G)
19. Press R. (A)	79. Roy J. (A)
85. Maklyukov A. (C)	9. Valentsov V.
14. Silantyev D.	74. Makeyev A.
16. Zernov D.	10. Galuzin V. (C)
8. Kantserov R.	8. Zaseda M.
Line 2
72. Minulin A.	18. Stewart D.
56. Khabarov M.	7. Busygin Y.
31. Petunin A.	41. Daryin A.
91. Josephs T.	26. Barach D.
11. Mikhailis N.	72. Buchelnikov D.
Line 3
87. Palivko D.	16. Vashchenko G.
9. Orekhov V.	57. Rykov Y.
89. Geraskin I.	21. Savchik I.
39. Kozlov A.	87. Tsitsyura V.
29. Vovchenko D.	86. Vorobyov I.
Line 4
12. Kamalov N.	2. Golovkov I. (A)
94. Korobkin Y. (A)	27. Yezhov I.
47. Johnson L.	98. Almazov N.
86. Moiseyev D.	28. Chivilyov A.
Substitutes
95. Osipovich B.	44. Shikin D. (G)
20. Smolin A. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.	. Desyatkov P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:50, 1 - 0, Johnson L. (G), Press R. (A), Korobkin Y. (A2)
05:14, Savchik I. (2 min),
09:46, Josephs T. (2 min),
11:42, Busygin Y. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:41, Josephs T. (5 min),
02:14, Kantserov R. (2 min),
10:05, (2 min),
12:08, Johnson L. (2 min),
12:15, 1 - 1, Tsitsyura V. (G), Makeyev A. (A), Buchelnikov D. (A2)
15:28, Johnson L. (2 min),
19:57, Kozlov A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:03, 2 - 1, Kamalov N. (G), Kozlov A. (A), Geraskin I. (A2)
19:47, 2 - 2, Makeyev A. (G), Chivilyov A. (A), Buchelnikov D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Chivilyov A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Josephs T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Vorobyov I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Mikhailis N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Makeyev A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kantserov R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tsitsyura V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Johnson L. (Penalty Shot),
5, Galuzin V. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Metallurg M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metallurg M won 2.

Metallurg M is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vityaz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Metallurg M is a favorite.

There will not play in Metallurg M: Yeryomenko V. (Injury) Yurov D. (Injury)

There will not play in Vityaz: Chekhovich I. (Injury) Gauthier F. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Metallurg M won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 52:49 (average 2.6:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg M won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 24:19 (average 2.7:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
15.03.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Kunlun	7:1 ✺
12.03.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - HC CSKA Moscow	4:2 ✺
08.03.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:2 ✺
06.03.25	Sochi - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	0:3 ✺
03.03.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Lada Togliatti	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
15.03.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Vityaz Balashikha	1:2 OT ✺
10.03.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sochi - Vityaz Balashikha	0:5 ✺
06.03.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	3:0 ✺
03.03.25	Vityaz Balashikha - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
19.10.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	6:4
KHL
24.02.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1
09.09.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:4
09.02.23	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Vityaz Balashikha	4:5 OT
29.01.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties
25.12.21	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:5

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