The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SKA Saint Petersburg 30.2%
Draw 22.3%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 47.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.6%
23.8%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
23%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.5%
5.9%
17.6%
SKA Saint Petersburg - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for SKA: 56.3% โ 96.7%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): SKA Saint Petersburg will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Ivanov S. (G)
20. Smolin A. (G)
34. Savikov Y.
21. Press R.
8. Murphy T.
85. Maklyukov A. (C)
61. Khairullin M. (A)
92. Kuznetsov E.
42. Vorobyov M. (A)
8. Kantserov R. (A)
92. Dube P.
19. Tkachev V. (A)
Line 2
27. Menell B.
9. Orekhov V.
3. Pedan A. (C)
44. Yakovlev Y.
23. Grimaldi R.
28. Tolchinsky S.
17. Loktionov A.
26. Barach D.
10. Blandisi J.
84. Fyodorov M.
Line 3
18. Phillips M.
72. Minulin A.
9. Sapego S.
56. Khabarov M.
91. Lutfullin I.
31. Petunin A.
69. Larionov I.
22. Iskhakov R.
55. Dishkovsky N.
11. Mikhailis N.
Line 4
47. Zelenov Y.
74. Siryatsky A.
41. Polyakov M.
94. Korobkin Y.
68. Nedopyokin N.
93. Nechayev I.
81. Leipsic B.
96. Korotkov N.
Substitutes
30. Zavragin Y. (G)
97. Galenyuk M.
30. Nabokov I. (G)
Coaches
. Larionov I.
. Razin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
02:51, 1 - 0, Dishkovsky N. (G), Sapego S. (A), Lutfullin I. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:16, 1 - 1, Tkachev V. (G), Maklyukov A. (A),
00:47, Menell B. (2 min),
03:43, 2 - 1, Larionov I. (G), Blandisi J. (A), Murphy T. (A2)
06:40, 3 - 1, Grimaldi R. (G), Savikov Y. (A), Murphy T. (A2)
06:55, Dishkovsky N. (2 min),
06:55, Smolin A. ↓, Nabokov I. ↑,
14:57, 4 - 1, Zelenov Y. (G), Dishkovsky N. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:09, Blandisi J. (2 min),
01:18, 4 - 2, Petunin A. (G), Press R. (A), Tolchinsky S. (A2)
05:44, Petunin A. (2 min),
14:13, Loktionov A. (2 min),
15:35, 4 - 3, Barach D. (G), Tkachev V. (A), Kuznetsov E. (A2)
19:08, Pedan A. (2 min),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA won 2.
Recent performances by SKA have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Metallurg M is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Metallurg M is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 58:43. (average 2.9:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, SKA won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 2.5:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Ivanov S. (G) 
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Murphy T. 
Dube P. 
Menell B. 
Orekhov V. 
Sapego S. 
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