Match Info

VHL

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Torpedo-Gorky

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.96	3.53
	1.89	4.1	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.66)	4.03 ↓ (4.35)	3.47 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
49.7%

Draw
23.3%

Torpedo-Gorky
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

21.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

20.9%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metallurg Novokuznetsk's form might have worsened.

Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Torpedo Gorky Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	52. Dagestansky D. (G)
51. Mineyev M. (A)	3. Steklov K.
75. Starikov L.	81. Varlakov A.
88. Shalagin M.	78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	87. Opalev R. (A)
59. Perevalov A.	90. Chefanov I.
Line 2
12. Kryukov T.	24. Pelevin A. (A)
77. Vinogradov A.	59. Nikitin Y.
17. Sokolov D.	97. Mayorov N.
89. Guslistov N.	41. Fyodorov V.
10. Sheshin D.	79. Artamonov N.
Line 3
8. Naumov V. (A)	25. Ipatov M.
9. Belov D.	19. Anisimov A.
18. Serdyuk Y.	70. Gazizov R.
21. Kodola V.	58. Ilyin D. (C)
97. Ovchinnikov D.	9. Krutov A.
Line 4
47. Churkin V.	5. Zharkov I.
86. Piskunov P.	10. Odinokov S.
50. Kurbatov V.	84. Utkin M.
33. Shablovsky Z.	23. Chesnokov G.
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	11. Omelyusik D.
71. Grzheletsky M.	1. Zinaddin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:47, 1 - 0, Kodola V. (G),
2nd Period (5 - 2)
01:48, 1 - 1, Utkin M. (G), Mayorov N. (A),
03:03, 2 - 1, Guslistov N. (G), Sheshin D. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)
05:04, 3 - 1, Sokolov D. (G), Sheshin D. (A),
08:55, 4 - 1, Shablovsky Z. (G), Kryukov T. (A),
13:01, 5 - 1, Kodola V. (G),
14:08, 5 - 2, Odinokov S. (G), Gazizov R. (A), Steklov K. (A2)
19:04, 6 - 2, Kodola V. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Kryukov T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:26, 7 - 2, Apalkov D. (G),
09:43, 7 - 3, Opalev R. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Metallurg N will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.46%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
09.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Khimik	2:3 ✺
07.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:1 ✺
02.10.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:0 ✺
30.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 OT ✺
28.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW
- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
09.10.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:2 penalties ✺
06.10.25	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	0:5 ✺
01.10.25	Torpedo-Gorky - SKA-VMF	4:3 penalties ✺
29.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:4 ✺
23.09.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:2 penalties
18.01.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:4 penalties
02.11.24	Torpedo-Gorky - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
08.08.20	Torpedo-Gorky - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2
07.08.20	Torpedo-Gorky - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:4
VHL
06.12.19	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Torpedo-Gorky	2:1

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