The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo-Gorky 47.1%
Draw 24.3%
SKA-VMF 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
24%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
23%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo-Gorky has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torpedo-Gorky's form might have worsened.
SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA-VMF's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo-Gorky, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SKA-VMF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Torpedo Gorky - SKA VMF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Zinaddin L. (G)
31. Saranchuk G. (G)
33. Bochkov I. (C)
27. Sapunov V.
81. Varlakov A.
47. Zelenov Y. (C)
41. Fedorov V.
38. Gurzanov Y.
87. Opalev R. (A)
18. Nedopyokin N.
51. Kosolapov A.
97. Nugmanov A.
Line 2
24. Pelevin A.
5. Yarullin A.
19. Anisimov A.
68. Beshkorov K.
70. Gazizov R.
17. Kabush M. (A)
13. Svishchyov K.
88. Lazutin D.
97. Mayorov N.
23. Osipov G.
Line 3
3. Steklov K.
63. Anisimov S. (A)
25. Ipatov M.
14. Shekhovtsov Y.
7. Glazunov M.
96. Kabat M.
58. Ilyin D. (A)
82. Mamaladze D.
91. Opolinsky M.
85. Kapchuk S.
Line 4
59. Nikitin Y.
21. Kalinin N.
10. Odinokov S.
36. Tsaregorodtsev M.
84. Utkin M.
40. Proskurnin A.
23. Chesnokov G.
13. Kuzmin I.
Substitutes
52. Dagestansky D. (G)
11. Gorbushin M.
78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
52. Moysevich P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
02:06, 0 - 1, Kabat M. (G), Shekhovtsov Y. (A), Anisimov S. (A2)
04:10, 0 - 2, Shekhovtsov Y. (G), Kabush M. (A),
12:36, 0 - 3, Lazutin D. (G), Osipov G. (A), Kabush M. (A2)
12:55, 1 - 3, Gazizov R. (G), Pelevin A. (A), Svishchyov K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:29, 2 - 3, Nikitin Y. (G), Svishchyov K. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:26, 3 - 3, Fedorov V. (G), Svishchyov K. (A), Pelevin A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Mayorov N. (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Torpedo-Gorky is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
SKA-VMF is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Torpedo-Gorky may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Torpedo-Gorky has had a series of away games.
Torpedo-Gorky will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Torpedo-Gorky will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Torpedo-Gorky won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo-Gorky won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Watch
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Zinaddin L. (G) 
Saranchuk G. (G) 
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