Match Info

VHL

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		Torpedo-Gorky

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.87	2.69
	2.43	4.24	2.38	Watch
	2.19	3.7	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.26)	3.94 ↑ (3.65)	2.57 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
40.3%

Draw
23.6%

Torpedo-Gorky
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.3%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

25.5%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Torpedo-Gorky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo-Gorky than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Norilsk - Torpedo Gorky Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Smirnov A. (G)	52. Dagestansky D. (G)
64. Minayev Y.	33. Bochkov I. (C)
28. Makeyev N.	81. Varlakov A.
71. Golodnyuk S.	78. Orlovich-Grudkov D.
89. Gorbunov D. (A)	87. Opalev R. (A)
93. Korenev I.	51. Kosolapov A.
Line 2
79. Chebykin Y.	24. Pelevin A.
43. Ugolnikov A. (C)	19. Anisimov A.
26. Bain M.	41. Fedorov V.
11. Shevchenko V.	13. Svishchyov K.
63. Yemets I.	97. Mayorov N.
Line 3
18. Alexeyev D.	3. Steklov K.
98. Abdeyev I.	59. Nikitin Y.
56. Mokin N. (A)	70. Gazizov R.
86. Melnichenko K.	58. Ilyin D. (A)
69. Skorikov D.	91. Opolinsky M.
Line 4
51. Popov O.	10. Odinokov S.
97. Leontyev A.	39. Blednov N.
25. Kuzmin Y.	84. Utkin M.
91. Lazarev A.	23. Chesnokov G.
Substitutes
45. Nikitin V. (G)	25. Ipatov M.
	1. Zinaddin L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
06:53, 0 - 1, Orlovich-Grudkov D. (G), Mayorov N. (A), Opalev R. (A2)
17:17, 0 - 2, Kosolapov A. (G), Opalev R. (A), Orlovich-Grudkov D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
01:32, 0 - 3, Chesnokov G. (G), Utkin M. (A),
04:20, 0 - 4, Orlovich-Grudkov D. (G), Kosolapov A. (A), Varlakov A. (A2)
04:56, 0 - 5, Gazizov R. (G), Ipatov M. (A), Opolinsky M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 4.

In recent matches, Norilsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torpedo-Gorky is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Norilsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 3.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 4.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
04.10.25	Norilsk - Khimik	0:4 ✺
02.10.25	Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Norilsk	2:4 ✺
25.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Norilsk	3:2 ✺
23.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Norilsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWLW
- Torpedo-Gorky
VHL
01.10.25	Torpedo-Gorky - SKA-VMF	4:3 penalties ✺
29.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:4 ✺
23.09.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Torpedo-Gorky	3:4 ✺
21.09.25	Chelny - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
19.09.25	Bars Kazan - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.08.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk	2:2
03.08.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk	1:2
VHL
23.01.25	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	4:3 OT
29.10.24	Torpedo-Gorky - Norilsk	4:5 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
01.08.24	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	5:1
31.07.24	Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky	5:1

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