Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Michigan Wolverines		Notre Dame Fighting Irish

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.85	6.85
	1.36	6.07	5.83
	1.36	5	6
	1.28	5.95	6.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	5.72 ↑ (5)	6.36 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michigan Wolverines
69.5%

Draw
16%

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

17.9%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

19.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michigan Wolverines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michigan Wolverines's performance.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan Wolverines than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michigan Wolverines that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notre Dame Fighting Irish than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notre Dame Fighting Irish could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Michigan Wolverines - Notre Dame Fighting Irish Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Notre Dame may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Michigan is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Michigan won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 59:41. (average 3.5:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Michigan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 3.7:2.3).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Michigan Wolverines: 12.22% Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 0.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michigan Wolverines hockey
NCAA Hockey
27.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Minnesota Golden Gophers	4:2 ✺
26.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Minnesota Golden Gophers	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Wisconsin Badgers - Michigan Wolverines	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish hockey
NCAA Hockey
06.03.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	3:4 OT ✺
05.03.26	Ohio State Buckeyes - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:5 OT ✺
28.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	4:3 OT ✺
27.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4 penalties ✺
20.02.26	Michigan State Spartans - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
10.01.26	Michigan Wolverines - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	7:4
09.01.26	Michigan Wolverines - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	5:2
01.11.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan Wolverines	1:2 OT
31.10.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan Wolverines	3:5
10.01.25	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Michigan Wolverines	3:5
09.11.24	Michigan Wolverines - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	4:2
08.11.24	Michigan Wolverines - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	2:1 OT

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