Match Info

NHL

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Minnesota Wild		Tampa Bay Lightning

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.2	2.1	Watch
	2.7	4	2.18
	2.85	4.05	2.18
	2.87	4.2	2.15
	2.84	4.28	2.14	Watch
	2.75	3.9	2.1
	2.93	4.31	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.64)	4.13 ↓ (4.26)	2.15 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Wild
33.3%

Draw
22.8%

Tampa Bay Lightning
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

22.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

24.4%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	30.8%	7.7%

Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Minnesota (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Minnesota Wild will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Gustavsson F. (G)	88. Vasilevski A. (G)
7. Faber B.	43. Raddysh D.
43. Hughes Q.	90. Moser J.J.
36. Zuccarello M.	22. Bjorkstrand O.
38. Hartman R.	21. Point B.
97. Kaprizov K.	59. Guentzel J.
Line 2
46. Spurgeon J.	77. Hedman V.
25. Brodin J.	51. D'Astous C.
12. Boldy M.	86. Kucherov N.
14. Eriksson Ek J.	71. Cirelli A.
90. Johansson M.	38. Hagel B.
Line 3
24. Bogosian Z.	81. Cernak E.
5. Middleton J.	27. McDonagh R.
91. Tarasenko V.	29. Holmberg P.
22. Yurov D.	37. Gourde Y.
13. Trenin Y.	28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
18. Hinostroza V.	42. Douglas C.
78. Sturm N.	14. Geekie C.
9. Fabbri R.	46. Sabourin S.
Substitutes
30. Wallstedt J. (G)	31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Hynes J.	. Cooper J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:46, 1 - 0, Faber B. (G), Johansson M. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
05:10, Hagel B. (2 min),
13:31, Sabourin S. (10 min),
15:05, Brodin J. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:10, (2 min),
04:11, Kaprizov K. (2 min),
04:24, Cirelli A. (2 min),
04:59, 2 - 0, Zuccarello M. (G), Hughes Q. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
05:05, Point B. (2 min),
09:33, Hinostroza V. (2 min),
15:07, 2 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Point B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
17:10, 3 - 1, Trenin Y. (G), Zuccarello M. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:35, Raddysh D. (2 min),
06:53, 4 - 1, Hughes Q. (G),
16:41, 5 - 1, Kaprizov K. (G), Faber B. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
19:01, Bogosian Z. (2 min),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Minnesota: Brodin J. (Lower-Body Injury) Foligno M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves G. (Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Paul N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:55. (average 3.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:21. (average 3.8:2.1).

Outrights of NHL for now

Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Minnesota Wild: 5.97%

Last Results with these Odds

Minnesota Wild - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Wild
NHL
01.03.26	Minnesota Wild - St. Louis Blues	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Utah Mammoth - Minnesota Wild	5:2 ✺
26.02.26	Colorado Avalanche - Minnesota Wild	2:5 ✺
04.02.26	Nashville Predators - Minnesota Wild	5:6 OT ✺
02.02.26	Minnesota Wild - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWW
- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
28.02.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres	2:6 ✺
26.02.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning	5:4 ✺
25.02.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:2 ✺
05.02.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers	6:1 ✺
03.02.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
01.11.24	Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning	5:3
24.10.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild	2:4
18.01.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild	7:3
04.01.24	Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning	1:4
24.01.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild	4:2
04.01.23	Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning	5:1
28.11.21	Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:2

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