The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moose Jaw Warriors 20.8%
Draw 17.7%
Calgary Hitmen 61.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
17.5%
59.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
20.5%
51%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moose Jaw Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Calgary Hitmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moose Jaw Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calgary Hitmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Wutzke C. (G)
31. Tu E. (G)
55. Andresen K.
17. Amrhein L.
19. Brown C.
7. Aura H. (A)
8. Carter C.
22. Dach K.
12. Degagne W.
4. Hamilton C.
16. Degenstein N.
25. Hildebrandt S.
26. Hirst B.
6. Hurtig A. (C)
22. Lajoie M.
21. Jundt K.
7. McFadden L.
16. MacBeath B.
20. McKenzie P.
27. Maze J.
2. Ness B. (C)
14. Meunier T.
4. Paquette N.
8. Molgachyov A.
45. Pavlik D.
18. Moore E.
10. Schmidt C. (A)
19. Ng R.
14. Semeniuk E. (A)
12. Pisarczyk W. (A)
15. Steranka S.
33. Seidl J.
38. Thorpe R.
39. Trevors L.
43. Trefny J.
15. Vanek B.
3. Williams C.
34. Wilkie C.
21. Ziprick A. (A)
Substitutes
33. Jones K. (G)
30. Hesse A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
09:55, 1 - 0, Ness B. (G), Degenstein N. (A), McFadden L. (A2)
19:59, 2 - 0, Schmidt C. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:14, 3 - 0, Paquette N. (G),
04:42, 3 - 1, Molgachyov A. (G), Maze J. (A), Moore E. (A2)
07:19, 3 - 2, Meunier T. (G), Vanek B. (A), MacBeath B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:35, 4 - 2, Andresen K. (G),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Calgary is Qualified for WHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moose Jaw won 2.
Moose Jaw has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Calgary's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.
In this match, Calgary is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moose Jaw won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 73:64. (average 3.7:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Moose Jaw won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:30. (average 4.5:3).
Watch
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Wutzke C. (G) 
Amrhein L. 
Hurtig A. (C) 
Molgachyov A. 
Pavlik D. 
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