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Current Win Probability
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk 33.8%
Draw 22.8%
Dynamo Moscow 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.3%
22%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
21.9%
49.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's performance.
Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.2%
12.5%
6.2%
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Dynamo Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Neftekhimik will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Neftekhimik: 62.2% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
17:24, Mamin M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:04, Dergachyov A. (2 min),
03:04, Comtois M. (2 min),
06:58, Profaca L. (2 min),
11:10, 0 - 1, Comtois M. (G), Adamchuk K. (A), Patalakha M. (A2)
11:58, Patalakha M. (2 min),
16:44, (2 min),
17:29, Pylenkov D. (2 min),
18:53, Serikov A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:18, Pastukhov I. (2 min),
05:40, Dergachyov A. (2 min),
13:21, 1 - 1, Zaseda M. (G), Seleznyov G. (A), Nikolishin I. (A2)
17:44, Der-Arguchintsev S. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Artamonov N. (Penalty Shot),
1, Weal J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nikolishin I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Gusev N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Belozyorov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Comtois M. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 3.
Neftekhimik is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Dynamo M's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Neftekhimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Dynamo M has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Neftekhimik will win today's game, with odds of 2.84.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 49:65. (average 2.5:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 2.5:3.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 28.26%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.
Dynamo Moscow - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 49.71%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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