Match Info

KHL

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Barys Arena (Astana)


	Barys Astana		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.78	2.92
	2.1	3.7	2.85
	2.2	4.29	2.91	Watch
	2.09	4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)	3.94 ↓ (4.4)	2.86 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barys Astana
43.7%

Draw
23.7%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

22%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

21%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Neftekhimik will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
43. Shutov A. (G)	31. Ozolin Y. (G)
26. Day L.	81. Yeryomenko V.
2. Massie J. (A)	24. Serikov A.
8. Bailey J.	88. Zhafyarov D.
14. Pilon G.	11. Nikolishin I.
11. Morelli M.	71. Belozyorov A. (C)
Line 2
71. Daniyar Sam. (A)	57. Ruchkin S.
3. McCoshen I.	65. Fedotov M.
13. Kaiyrzhan D.	10. Bikmullin R.
9. Thompson T.	52. Mityakin Y. (A)
17. Omirbekov A.	97. Tyanulin A.
Line 3
4. Priskie C.	29. Khairullin T.
87. Beketayev A.	22. Kol T.
29. Lyapunov K.	23. Petunin A.
12. Logvin V.	84. Artemyev S.
70. Simonov S.	33. Tochilkin G.
Line 4
28. Sarkenov A.	7. Khlystov N. (A)
7. Britikov D.	21. Seleznyov G.
84. Savitsky K. (C)	87. Sokolov S.
64. Shestakov A.	17. Nadvorny M.
77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
Substitutes
32. Shepard H. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Grishin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:08, 0 - 1, Zhafyarov D. (G), Belozyorov A. (A), Nikolishin I. (A2)
08:43, McCoshen I. (2 min),
12:19, Tyanulin A. (2 min),
13:31, Bailey J. (2 min),
13:31, Belozyorov A. (2 min),
15:05, Shaikhmeddenov A. (2 min),
15:05, Tyanulin A. (2 min),
18:29, Bailey J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 4)
03:55, 0 - 2, Seleznyov G. (G), Nadvorny M. (A), Sokolov S. (A2)
05:06, 0 - 3, Tochilkin G. (G), Zhafyarov D. (A), Nikolishin I. (A2)
05:06, Shutov A. ↓, Shepard H. ↑,
06:06, Shestakov A. (2 min),
08:19, 0 - 4, Petunin A. (G), Yeryomenko V. (A), Bikmullin R. (A2)
17:04, Artemyev S. (2 min),
18:22, 0 - 5, Sokolov S. (G), Bikmullin R. (A), Khairullin T. (A2)
19:14, Khlystov N. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:10, 1 - 5, Pilon G. (G), Priskie C. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
05:12, 2 - 5, Simonov S. (G), Logvin V. (A), Sarkenov A. (A2)
06:39, 2 - 6, Tyanulin A. (G), Khlystov N. (A), Bikmullin R. (A2)
10:42, 3 - 6, Omirbekov A. (G), Britikov D. (A), Kaiyrzhan D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Barys has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barys has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:49 (averaging 2.6:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barys against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 28:23 goals (averaging 2.5:2.1 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Niznekamsk: 1.24% Barys Astana: 0.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 42.17%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 35.79%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barys Astana
KHL
22.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	0:5 ✺
18.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	0:6 ✺
12.09.26	Barys Astana - Amur Khabarovsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WWLWL
- HC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
KHL
23.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lada Togliatti	7:3 ✺
20.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	6:2 ✺
18.09.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Admiral Vladivostok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
24.01.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	3:2
15.01.26	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1
03.11.25	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:5
27.10.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	3:2
13.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	1:2 OT
11.11.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	4:1
03.11.24	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:1 penalties

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