Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Neman Grodno		Mogilev

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.87	5.89
	1.36	5.25	6.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 (1.37)	5.06 ↓ (6.3)	6.03 ↑ (5.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neman Grodno
66.8%

Draw
18%

Mogilev
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

14.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

14.2%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogilev than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Neman Grodno - Mogilev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
69. Karnaukhov M. (G)	31. Kropova D. (G)
32. Lisovets Y.	43. Sushko V.
61. Uss I.	32. Semyonov Y.
44. Gretsky V.	17. Yeliseyenko A.
96. Poddubnyi G.	73. Kozinov A.
8. Nikulin V.	47. Levsha A.
Line 2
45. Letov I.	35. Tarletsky N.
95. Sevko Y.	9. Shaborshin G.
99. Jelisejevs N.	10. Timirev A.
19. Smirnov K.	13. Prokhorov A.
28. Kisly A.	19. Byakin M.
Line 3
92. Zheldakov G.	39. Shurygin A.
86. Savritsky D.	16. Prokhorenko M.
23. Antonovich V.	92. Medvedev P.
87. Zhukovsky I.	44. Yermolenko A.
14. Malashkevich Z.	8. Sergushkin D.
Line 4
26. Klopov A.	37. Shapiro I.
91. Bastrykin N.	14. Vorobyov K.
7. Avramenko Y.	26. Shapiro A.
97. Zhilyuk K.	49. Malyuchenko A.
12. Azhgirei P.	12. Popkov A.
Substitutes
74. Kozlovsky K. (G)	27. Osipov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:07, 1 - 0, Poddubnyi G. (G), Jelisejevs N. (A),
13:55, 1 - 1, Byakin M. (G), Prokhorov A. (A), Shaborshin G. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:56, 2 - 1, Zhukovsky I. (G), Savritsky D. (A),
14:26, 3 - 1, Savritsky D. (G), Kisly A. (A), Smirnov K. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
17:53, 3 - 2, Kozinov A. (G),
19:06, 4 - 2, Kisly A. (G), Lisovets Y. (A), Smirnov K. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neman won 4.

Recent performances by Neman have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mogilev is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Neman has had a series of away games.

Recently, Mogilev has had a series of home games.

In this match, Neman is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Neman will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neman won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 89:42. (average 4.5:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Neman won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 43:18. (average 4.8:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Mogilev - the odds 5.41 are the expected chance of winning is 17.22%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Neman Grodno
Belarusian Extraleague
23.10.25	Neman Grodno - Mogilev	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Lida - Neman Grodno	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Lida - Neman Grodno	4:2 ✺
13.10.25	Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk - Neman Grodno	3:7 ✺
11.10.25	Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk - Neman Grodno	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL
- HK Mogilev
Belarusian Extraleague
23.10.25	Neman Grodno - Mogilev	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Mogilev - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	3:2 OT ✺
17.10.25	Mogilev - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	3:6 ✺
14.10.25	Mogilev - Vitebsk	0:5 ✺
12.10.25	Mogilev - Vitebsk	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
23.10.25	Neman Grodno - Mogilev	3:2
31.01.25	Neman Grodno - Mogilev	6:4
29.01.25	Neman Grodno - Mogilev	4:3
27.10.24	Mogilev - Neman Grodno	4:3
25.10.24	Mogilev - Neman Grodno	3:5
28.01.24	Mogilev - Neman Grodno	2:4
13.01.24	Mogilev - Neman Grodno	4:6

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