The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Islanders 38.6%
Draw 22.4%
Buffalo Sabres 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
23%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
23.4%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.8%
23.5%
64.7%
New York Islanders - Buffalo Sabres Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Buffalo will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Buffalo: 42% – 87.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Buffalo (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Sabres will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 12 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Rittich D. (G)
34. Lyon A. (G)
24. Mayfield S.
26. Dahlin R. (C)
48. Schaefer M.
23. Samuelsson M.
51. Heineman E.
89. Tuch A. (A)
14. Horvat B. (A)
72. Thompson T. (A)
29. Drouin J.
91. Doan J.
Line 2
77. DeAngelo A.
4. Byram B.
3. Pelech A.
25. Power O.
11. Duclair A.
22. Quinn J.
13. Barzal M.
71. McLeod R.
27. Lee A. (C)
17. Zucker J.
Line 3
36. George I.
8. Kesselring M.
34. Boqvist A.
73. Metsa Z.
10. Holmstrom S.
94. Helenius K.
44. Pageau J.
86. Ostlund N.
49. Shabanov M.
6. Benson Z.
Line 4
32. Maclean K.
29. Malenstyn B.
64. Ritchie C.
19. Krebs P.
53. Cizikas C.
48. Kozak T.
Substitutes
30. Sorokin I. (G)
92. Ellis C. (G)
Coaches
. Roy P.
. Ruff L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
11:17, Lyon A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:33, 0 - 1, Zucker J. (G), Quinn J. (A), McLeod R. (A2)
01:18, Lee A. (2 min),
11:46, Schaefer M. (2 min),
14:57, Samuelsson M. (2 min),
19:47, 0 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Benson Z. (A), Samuelsson M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:25, 0 - 3, Zucker J. (G), McLeod R. (A),
14:02, 0 - 4, Dahlin R. (G), Krebs P. (A),
14:38, 0 - 5, Tuch A. (G), Samuelsson M. (A), Kesselring M. (A2)
15:24, Kesselring M. (2 min),
17:53, Mayfield S. (2 min),
17:53, Benson Z. (2 min),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
NY Islanders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, NY Islanders has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Buffalo: Bryson J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Danforth J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Dunne J.
(Injury)
Kulich J.
(Health problems)
Norris J.
(Ribs Injury)
Timmins C.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in NY Islanders: Pulock R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Buffalo: Benson Z.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 55:56. (average 2.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 3.2:2.2).
Outrights of NHL for now
Buffalo Sabres: 2.45% New York Islanders: 0.59%
Last Results with these Odds
New York Islanders - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.98%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.98%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.