The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Rangers 30.7%
Draw 22.5%
Tampa Bay Lightning 46.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.9%
22.7%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
23.8%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Rangers's form might have worsened.
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Lightning's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Rangers than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
16.7%
33.3%
New York Rangers - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. NY Rangers will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Rangers (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Garand D. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
23. Fox A. (A)
74. Carlson J.
44. Gavrikov V.
90. Moser J.J.
16. Dorofeyev P.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
93. Zibanejad M. (A)
21. Point B.
94. Perreault G.
93. Goncalves G.
Line 2
5. Durzi S.
81. Cernak E.
26. Pettersson M.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
13. Lafreniere A.
59. Guentzel J.
10. Miller J.T. (C)
71. Cirelli A.
24. Kartye T.
38. Hagel B.
Line 3
4. Schneider B.
24. Crozier M.
12. Smits A.
77. Hedman V. (C)
17. Tolvanen E.
29. Holmberg P.
42. Laba N.
28. Girgensons Z.
50. Cuylle W.
95. Mikheyev I.
Line 4
73. Rempe M.
51. D'Astous C.
53. Beaudoin C.
94. Geekie C.
28. Bjorkstrand O.
25. Truchon-Viel J.
Substitutes
41. Martin S. (G)
30. Sogaard M. (G)
Coaches
. Sullivan M.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:02, 1 - 0, Lafreniere A. (G), Kartye T. (A), Fox A. (A2)
03:03, Carlson J. (2 min),
07:54, Truchon-Viel J. (2 min),
08:57, Fox A. (2 min),
12:47, 2 - 0, Lafreniere A. (G), Kartye T. (A), Miller J.T. (A2)
14:17, Rempe M. (5 min),
14:17, Truchon-Viel J. (5 min),
17:26, 2 - 1, Girgensons Z. (G), Holmberg P. (A), Hedman V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:42, Cernak E. (2 min),
04:28, Schneider B. (2 min),
18:26, 3 - 1, Cuylle W. (G), Durzi S. (A), Pettersson M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:29, Durzi S. (2 min),
01:57, Cirelli A. (2 min),
15:34, Kartye T. (2 min),
17:16, 4 - 1, Zibanejad M. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Rangers won 4.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
NY Rangers may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Tampa Bay is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for NY Rangers: Korpisalo J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Shesterkin I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sykora A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Veleno J.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Gourde Y.
(Hip Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY Rangers has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:52 (averaging 3.1:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NY Rangers against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:22 goals (averaging 3.3:2.2 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.97% New York Rangers: 0.98%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.41%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.
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Garand D. (G) 
Vasilevski A. (G) 
Fox A. (A) 
Moser J.J. 
Zibanejad M. (A) 
Cernak E. 
Smits A. 
Tolvanen E. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
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