The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Peterborough Petes 62.7%
Draw 19%
Barrie Colts 18.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.5%
20.2%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
20.9%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough Petes's performance.
Barrie Colts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barrie Colts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough Petes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrie Colts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Peterborough Petes - Barrie Colts Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Koprowski M. (G)
33. Bach H. (G)
15. Cameron C. (C)
2. Desiderio N.
7. Carter H.
37. Edgar E.
13. Clarke J.
98. Figliomeni A.
24. Dennis C.
91. Gauvreau L.
4. Hartnell C.
16. Handsor J.
17. Karmiris L.
24. Lombardi B.
12. Kolarik L.
85. Lowe C.
44. Lutz Y.
22. Matheson L.
29. McCallum B. (A)
74. McNally D.
21. McMurray J.
72. Mowrey A.
27. Minsky M.
88. Passmore E. (C)
16. Novotny A. (A)
11. Schneid W. (A)
18. Parish F.
20. Shargorodsky P.
72. Perreault M.
34. Shirochenkov M.
35. Roulston L.
19. Tang M.
6. Strohack G.
81. Testa L.
9. Xu J.
89. Tsherna D. (A)
26. Young A. (A)
21. Yurkiw R.
Substitutes
37. Johnston M. (G)
70. Nikonovich M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
11:36, 1 - 0, Dennis C. (G), McCallum B. (A), Karmiris L. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
01:07, 2 - 0, Novotny A. (G), Dennis C. (A), Kolarik L. (A2)
04:23, 3 - 0, Karmiris L. (G), Novotny A. (A),
16:13, 4 - 0, Dennis C. (G), Novotny A. (A), Lutz Y. (A2)
16:55, 5 - 0, Novotny A. (G), Dennis C. (A), Lutz Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:50, 6 - 0, Novotny A. (G), Lutz Y. (A), Karmiris L. (A2)
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.
In recent outings, Peterborough has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Barrie is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Barrie may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Peterborough has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, Peterborough is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Peterborough has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 78:61 (averaging 3.9:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Peterborough against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 48:33 goals (averaging 4.8:3.3 per game).
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Koprowski M. (G) 
Bach H. (G) 
Clarke J. 
Kolarik L. 
Lutz Y. 
Novotny A. (A) 
Shirochenkov M. 
Nikonovich M. (G) 
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