Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Olimp-Arena (Kirovo-Chepetsk)


	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.01	1.83
	3.62	4.15	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.3)	4.08 ↑ (3.7)	1.83 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
25.4%

Draw
23.1%

Chelmet
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25.3%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelmet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelmet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk - Chelmet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Kuzin A. S. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)
91. Lyakhov A.	48. Pronichkin A.
79. Gusev M. M.	22. Filatov A.
86. Korobintsev V.	29. Mokin M. (A)
26. Fischenko I. (A)	37. Mits Z.
59. Sorokin D.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 2
4. Fedotov A. (C)	77. Tertyshny A.
74. Antipin V.	18. Mikanovich D.
93. Korenev I.	16. Shen A.
25. Pikov M. (A)	46. Shaveko V.
34. Ponomaryov T.	97. Matyushin A.
Line 3
89. Gainullin I.	43. Rodionov M.
18. Tolpegin D.	90. Klimontov K. (A)
17. Almazov N.	34. Gusmanov F.
31. Shiafotdinov K.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
24. Pishchalnikov P.	98. Kolodiy L.
Line 4
36. Aksyonov A.	17. Yekimov N.
7. Myslyayev S.	25. Fakhrutdinov R.
16. Pasmanik L.	36. Shubin D.
14. Drobin A.
15. Novokshenov I.
Substitutes
48. Kuznetsov G. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
06:31, 1 - 0, Gainullin I. (G), Shiafotdinov K. (A),
18:56, 2 - 0, Sorokin D. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:20, 3 - 0, Drobin A. (G), Pasmanik L. (A), Novokshenov I. (A2)
03:14, 4 - 0, Sorokin D. (G), Korobintsev V. (A), Tolpegin D. (A2)
16:16, 4 - 1, Shubin D. (G),

Preview

Chelmet is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Kirovo-Chepetsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kirovo-Chepetsk has had a series of home games.

Chelmet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
24	Olympia	12	3	1	1	7	33:39	9
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.34%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk
VHL
14.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:3 OT ✺
12.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Molot Perm	2:1 penalties ✺
05.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWL
- HC Chelmet
VHL
14.03.26	Izhstal - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
12.03.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
04.03.26	Chelmet - Kristall Saratov	4:2 ✺
02.03.26	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:4 ✺
28.02.26	Chelmet - Ryazan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
06.09.25	Chelmet - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	1:2
19.12.24	Chelmet - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:2 OT
20.11.24	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Chelmet	3:4

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