Match Info

AHL

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toyota Arena (Ontario, CA) 🌤️ ...


	Ontario Reign		Calgary Wranglers

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.4	2.05	Watch
	2.60	4.00	2.25
	2.62	4.14	2.21
	2.62	4.24	2.2
	2.64	4.38	2.18	Watch
	2.55	4.15	2.15
	2.61	4.15	2.15	Watch
	2.6	4.2	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.67)	4.21 ↓ (4.34)	2.17 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ontario Reign
35.3%

Draw
22%

Calgary Wranglers
42.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

21.5%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

22.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Calgary Wranglers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. George C. (G)	40. Zarubin K. (G)
24. Booth A.	49. Basha A.
2. Brzustewicz H.	2. Benning M.
8. Chromiak M.	48. Brzustewicz H.
17. Connors K.	20. Gallant A. (A)
37. Doty J. (A)	34. Gross T.
81. Guttman C.	15. Hunt D. (A)
27. Hicketts J. (C)	3. Hurtig A.
47. Hughes J.	6. Kerins R. (C)
46. Isogai K.	23. Livingstone J.
86. Jamsen A.	45. Morton S.
19. Kirsanov K.	92. Nylander A.
22. Lawrence K.	94. Pachal B.
45. Millar J. (A)	41. Pavlychev N.
29. Pederson L.	39. Philp L.
7. Perunovich S.	11. Stromgren W.
71. Pinelli F.	5. Wiebe A.
78. Wright J.	16. Wilkie C.
13. Ziemmer K.	47. Zary C.
Substitutes
50. Slukynsky H. (G)	35. Sergeev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:22, 0 - 1, Gross T. (G), Stromgren W. (A), Hurtig A. (A2)
13:44, 1 - 1, Guttman C. (G), Perunovich S. (A), Chromiak M. (A2)
19:53, 1 - 2, Kerins R. (G), Hunt D. (A), Wiebe A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:18, 2 - 2, Chromiak M. (G), Guttman C. (A), Pederson L. (A2)
17:10, 3 - 2, Chromiak M. (G), Kirsanov K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Calgary may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ontario has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:42 (averaging 3.3:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ontario against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 36:23 goals (averaging 3.3:2.1 per game).

Outrights of AHL for now

Ontario Reign: 4.19% Calgary Wranglers: 1.98%

Last Results with these Odds

Ontario Reign - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Calgary Wranglers - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ontario Reign
AHL
17.10.26	Ontario Reign - Henderson Silver Knights	2:5 ✺
14.10.26	San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign	2:3 ✺
11.10.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	2:3 AET ✺
03.10.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	2:6 ✺
02.10.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	5:6 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW
- Calgary Wranglers
AHL
17.10.26	Bakersfield Condors - Calgary Wranglers	3:4 ✺
16.10.26	San Jose Barracuda - Calgary Wranglers	5:4 ✺
14.10.26	San Jose Barracuda - Calgary Wranglers	4:6 ✺
11.10.26	Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors	4:5 ✺
09.10.26	Calgary Wranglers - Bakersfield Condors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
07.12.25	Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers	2:1 OT
06.12.25	Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers	6:1
12.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	3:2
11.11.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	1:5
05.04.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	3:1
23.02.25	Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers	2:1 penalties
17.02.25	Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign	2:3 OT

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