Match Info

AHL

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lee's Family Forum (Henderson, NV) 🌤️ ...


	Henderson Silver Knights		Ontario Reign

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.3	2.15	Watch
	2.35	4.00	2.50
	2.37	4.04	2.47
	2.25	4.14	2.59
	2.29	4.29	2.54	Watch
	2.2	4.05	2.5
	2.24	4.05	2.48	Watch
	2.37	4.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.11)	4.12 ↓ (4.53)	2.45 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henderson Silver Knights
39.7%

Draw
22.4%

Ontario Reign
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

20.6%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

21.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henderson Silver Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henderson Silver Knights than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Henderson Silver Knights - Ontario Reign Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Moysevich P. (G)	70. George C. (G)
8. Cataford M.	24. Booth A.
51. Cormier L.	2. Brzustewicz H.
84. Davies J.	8. Chromiak M.
13. Demek J.	17. Connors K.
50. Fleming J.	37. Doty J. (A)
73. Ginning A.	81. Guttman C.
59. Hallum J.	27. Hicketts J. (C)
63. Hemmerling B.	47. Hughes J.
10. Holtz A.	46. Isogai K.
74. Kmec J. V.	86. Jamsen A.
75. McLain M. (A)	19. Kirsanov K.
88. Megna J. (C)	22. Lawrence K.
46. Rondbjerg J. (A)	45. Millar J. (A)
25. Sapovaliv M.	29. Pederson L.
76. Swick T.	7. Perunovich S.
6. Tuomisto A.	71. Pinelli F.
37. Uronen T.	15. Slukynsky G.
18. Weiermair A.	13. Ziemmer K.
Substitutes
32. Tracy A. (G)	50. Slukynsky H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
07:50, 1 - 0, Cormier L. (G), Holtz A. (A), Megna J. (A2)
15:13, 2 - 0, Cormier L. (G), Davies J. (A), Sapovaliv M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:58, 2 - 1, Jamsen A. (G), Hicketts J. (A), Isogai K. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:26, 3 - 1, Fleming J. (G), McLain M. (A), Cataford M. (A2)
18:38, 4 - 1, Holtz A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henderson won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Henderson could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Henderson has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:62 (averaging 3:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Henderson against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 27:32 goals (averaging 2.7:3.2 per game).

Outrights of AHL for now

Henderson Silver Knights: 3.1% Ontario Reign: 3.1%

Last Results with these Odds

Ontario Reign - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.11%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henderson Silver Knights
AHL
24.10.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	1:4 ✺
23.10.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Tucson Roadrunners	2:1 OT ✺
17.10.26	Ontario Reign - Henderson Silver Knights	2:5 ✺
14.10.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Coachella Valley Firebirds	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	San Diego Gulls - Henderson Silver Knights	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWL
- Ontario Reign
AHL
24.10.26	Texas Stars - Ontario Reign	5:2 ✺
23.10.26	Texas Stars - Ontario Reign	3:5 ✺
20.10.26	Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers	3:2 ✺
17.10.26	Ontario Reign - Henderson Silver Knights	2:5 ✺
14.10.26	San Diego Gulls - Ontario Reign	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
17.10.26	Ontario Reign - Henderson Silver Knights	2:5
25.03.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Ontario Reign	3:1
08.03.26	Henderson Silver Knights - Ontario Reign	1:2
06.03.26	Ontario Reign - Henderson Silver Knights	4:3 penalties
09.01.26	Ontario Reign - Henderson Silver Knights	5:4 penalties
30.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Ontario Reign	2:3 penalties
28.11.25	Ontario Reign - Henderson Silver Knights	4:3

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