Match Info

AHL

Date: 31 December 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toyota Arena (Ontario, CA) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	21:00	Flohockey


	Ontario Reign		San Jose Barracuda

	1	X	2
	2.45	4	2.2	Watch
	2.45	4.15	2.31
	2.47	4.14	2.37	Watch
	2.4	4.2	2.25
	2.44	3.98	2.29	Watch
	2.35	4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.72)	4.08 ↓ (4.13)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ontario Reign
37.6%

Draw
22.4%

San Jose Barracuda
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

22.5%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

22.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

San Jose Barracuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Barracuda than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Copley P. (G)	35. Carriere G. (G)
59. Alexandrov N.	11. Afanasyev Y.
58. Bolduc S.	18. Bystedt F.
24. Booth A.	42. Cagnoni L.
8. Chromiak M.	56. Cardwell E.
17. Connors K.	32. Carlsson L.
37. Doty J. (A)	59. Clayton C.
55. Dvorak J.	54. Giles P. (A)
21. Gawdin G. (A)	86. Hache B.
81. Guttman C.	14. Halttunen K.
47. Hughes J.	25. Havelid M.
46. Isogai K.	40. Huntington J. (A)
19. Kirsanov K.	41. Laberge S.
26. Lee A.	46. Lund C.
12. Rego T.	13. Musty Q.
10. Salin O.	26. Thompson J.
34. Ward T.	76. Vincent A.
78. Wright J.	24. Wahlstrom O.
13. Ziemmer K.	16. White C. (A)
Substitutes
49. Saville I. (G)	36. Skarek J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:24, 1 - 0, Guttman C. (G), Gawdin G. (A), Alexandrov N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
02:42, 1 - 1, Wahlstrom O. (G), Halttunen K. (A), White C. (A2)
05:27, 1 - 2, Cardwell E. (G), Musty Q. (A), Huntington J. (A2)
12:41, 1 - 3, Bystedt F. (G),
13:13, 2 - 3, Connors K. (G), Hughes J. (A), Ziemmer K. (A2)
19:19, 2 - 4, Afanasyev Y. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:20, 3 - 4, Guttman C. (G), Ward T. (A),
01:45, 4 - 4, Rego T. (G), Guttman C. (A), Alexandrov N. (A2)
19:59, 4 - 5, Carlsson L. (G), Lund C. (A), Afanasyev Y. (A2)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ontario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:55. (average 3.1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 2.7:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Ontario Reign - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ontario Reign
AHL
30.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Ontario Reign	2:3 penalties ✺
27.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:6 ✺
20.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLLW
- San Jose Barracuda
AHL
27.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:6 ✺
20.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Coachella Valley Firebirds - San Jose Barracuda	4:2 ✺
13.12.25	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
27.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	0:3
21.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:6
20.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 penalties
15.11.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	4:3
04.11.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	2:1 OT
01.11.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	4:2
31.10.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	1:6

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