Match Info

AHL

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Tech CU Arena (San Jose, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	San Jose Barracuda		Ontario Reign

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.2	2.63	Watch
	2.24	4.05	2.6
	2.37	3.95	2.53	Watch
	2.2	3.9	2.6
	2.38	3.94	2.53	Watch
	2.05	4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.08)	4.01 ↓ (4.42)	2.6 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Barracuda
41.6%

Draw
23%

Ontario Reign
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

21%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

20.5%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Barracuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Barracuda than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-2%)

San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Skarek J. (G)	49. Saville I. (G)
11. Afanasyev Y.	59. Alexandrov N.
15. Bowers S.	58. Bolduc S.
18. Bystedt F.	24. Booth A.
42. Cagnoni L.	8. Chromiak M.
56. Cardwell E.	17. Connors K.
32. Carlsson L.	37. Doty J.
59. Clayton C.	55. Dvorak J.
54. Giles P. (A)	21. Gawdin G.
86. Hache B.	47. Hughes J.
14. Halttunen K.	46. Isogai K.
25. Havelid M.	86. Jamsen A.
40. Huntington J. (A)	19. Kirsanov K.
41. Laberge S.	26. Lee A. (A)
46. Lund C.	12. Rego T.
84. Regenda P.	10. Salin O.
26. Thompson J.	34. Ward T. (A)
24. Wahlstrom O.	78. Wright J.
16. White C. (A)	13. Ziemmer K.
Substitutes
35. Carriere G. (G)	33. Sholl M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:17, 0 - 1, Jamsen A. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
03:47, 0 - 2, Lee A. (G), Gawdin G. (A),
18:27, 0 - 3, Alexandrov N. (G), Wright J. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 4.

San Jose is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ontario has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that San Jose will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 56:62. (average 2.8:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 2.4:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

San Jose Barracuda - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Ontario Reign - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.29%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Barracuda
AHL
21.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:6 ✺
20.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Coachella Valley Firebirds - San Jose Barracuda	4:2 ✺
13.12.25	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 OT ✺
12.12.25	Texas Stars - San Jose Barracuda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWW
- Ontario Reign
AHL
21.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:6 ✺
20.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Bakersfield Condors - Ontario Reign	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Colorado Eagles - Ontario Reign	6:1 ✺
12.12.25	Colorado Eagles - Ontario Reign	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
21.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:6
20.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	3:4 penalties
15.11.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	4:3
04.11.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	2:1 OT
01.11.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	4:2
31.10.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	1:6
26.04.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	1:2

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