The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Texas Stars 36.7%
Draw 22.2%
Ontario Reign 41.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.9%
21.9%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
23.4%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Texas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Ontario Reign has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas Stars than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Texas Stars - Ontario Reign Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Halverson B. (G)
50. Slukynsky H. (G)
27. Becker J.
24. Booth A.
3. Bertucci T.
2. Brzustewicz H.
7. Burroughs K. (A)
8. Chromiak M.
10. Ertel J.
92. Cihar V.
21. Fitzgerald C.
17. Connors K.
6. Gleason B.
81. Guttman C. (A)
39. Hemming E.
27. Hicketts J. (C)
14. Hryckowian D.
47. Hughes J.
37. Looft K.
46. Isogai K.
16. McKenzie C. (C)
86. Jamsen A.
15. Minnetian A.
19. Kirsanov K.
36. Paquette C.
22. Lawrence K.
24. Punnett C.
45. Millar J. (A)
29. Rickwood E.
29. Pederson L.
11. Scott H.
7. Perunovich S.
17. Sgarbossa M. (A)
71. Pinelli F.
38. Shlaine A.
15. Slukynsky G.
2. Taylor T.
13. Ziemmer K.
Substitutes
30. Tiefensee A. (G)
70. George C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
13:03, 1 - 0, Shlaine A. (G), Taylor T. (A), Hryckowian D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
08:23, 1 - 1, Pederson L. (G), Guttman C. (A), Kirsanov K. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 1)
06:15, 2 - 1, Sgarbossa M. (G), Burroughs K. (A),
10:13, 3 - 1, Punnett C. (G), Looft K. (A), Becker J. (A2)
11:21, 4 - 1, Rickwood E. (G), Ertel J. (A), Burroughs K. (A2)
12:07, 4 - 2, Pederson L. (G), Guttman C. (A), Hicketts J. (A2)
19:04, 5 - 2, Shlaine A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas won 2.
Texas has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ontario shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Texas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Texas has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Ontario in today's match, at odds of 2.25.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Texas has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:62 (averaging 3:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Texas against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 31:31 goals (averaging 3.1:3.1 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Ontario Reign: 3.1% Texas Stars: 2.3%
Last Results with these Odds
Texas Stars - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.92%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
Ontario Reign - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.