The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 49.7%
Draw 21.9%
Calgary Flames 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
21.5%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
20.7%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Calgary will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Stolarz A. (G)
32. Wolf D. (G)
22. McCabe J.
4. Andersson R.
2. Benoit S.
7. Bahl K.
88. Nylander W.
16. Frost M.
34. Matthews A. (C)
91. Kadri N. (A)
74. McMann B.
10. Huberdeau J.
Line 2
51. Myers P.
52. Weegar M. (A)
44. Rielly M. (A)
24. Bean J.
63. Maccelli M.
20. Coleman B.
91. Tavares J. (A)
11. Backlund M. (C)
23. Knies M.
29. Honzek S.
Line 3
25. Carlo B.
89. Parekh Z.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
44. Hanley J.
53. Cowan E.
17. Sharangovich Y.
55. Roy N.
47. Zary C.
81. Joshua D.
86. Farabee J.
Line 4
89. Robertson N.
27. Coronato M.
11. Domi M.
23. Kirkland J.
18. Lorentz S.
70. Lomberg R.
Substitutes
30. Primeau C. (G)
1. Cooley D. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Huska R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
04:33, 0 - 1, Frost M. (G), Huberdeau J. (A), Kadri N. (A2)
09:11, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
11:06, Zary C. (2 min),
14:02, (2 min),
16:06, Huberdeau J. (2 min),
18:31, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:13, 1 - 1, Domi M. (G), Lorentz S. (A), Maccelli M. (A2)
17:57, 1 - 2, Farabee J. (G), Kirkland J. (A), Andersson R. (A2)
19:25, 2 - 2, Knies M. (G), Nylander W. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:33, Hanley J. (2 min),
03:47, 3 - 2, Knies M. (G),
05:40, Knies M. (2 min),
14:49, 3 - 3, Honzek S. (G), Backlund M. (A),
17:56, 4 - 3, Domi M. (G), Knies M. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 5.
Toronto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Calgary is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
Toronto will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Toronto: Jarnkrok C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laughton S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Woll J.
(Personal Reasons)
There are questionable in Toronto: Nylander W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Calgary: Pospisil M.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 66:52. (average 3.3:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 2.8:2.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.96%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Calgary Flames - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 26.49%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Stolarz A. (G) 
Andersson R. 
Benoit S. 
Maccelli M. 
Honzek S. 
Sharangovich Y. 
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