Match Info

NHL

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA, MSG Sportsnet, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Venezuela	Disney+
International	NHL.tv


	Ottawa Senators		San Jose Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.20	2.85	Watch
	2.20	4.00	2.65
	2.20	4.35	2.75
	2.20	4.28	2.76
	2.17	4.33	2.77	Watch
	2.20	4.20	2.75
	2.21	4.31	2.76
	2.18	4.10	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.95)	4.22 ↑ (4.2)	2.75 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
43.3%

Draw
22.3%

San Jose Sharks
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48%

22.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

22%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ottawa Senators, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ottawa will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 50%). San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6 - over (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - San Jose (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - San Jose (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - San Jose (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - San Jose (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - OTT Senators (1.77) (votes: 83%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 1 - 16.7%). San Jose (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Ersson S. (G)	30. Askarov Y. (G)
2. Zub A.	7. Kesselring M.
85. Sanderson J. (A)	25. Nurse D. (A)
28. Giroux C. (A)	2. Smith W.
18. Stutzle T. (A)	71. Celebrini M. (C)
20. Zetterlund F.	92. Chernyshov I.
Line 2
10. Spence J.	65. Trouba J.
43. Kleven T.	6. Dickinson S.
19. Batherson D.	44. Sherwood K.
24. Cozens D.	77. Misa M.
37. Foegele W.	41. Stenberg I.
Line 3
26. Yakemchuk C.	5. Allan N.
33. Matinpalo N.	9. Orlov D.
22. Amadio M.	73. Toffoli T. (A)
12. Pinto S.	51. Graf C.
71. Greig R.	27. Marchment M.
Line 4
42. Hodgson H.	10. Dellandrea T.
83. Halliday S.	63. Ostapchuk Z.
21. Cousins N.	23. Goodrow B.
Substitutes
. Johansson J. (G)	33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Warsofsky R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

San Jose could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, San Jose has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Ottawa: Chabot T. (Upper-Body Injury) Eklund W. (Ankle Injury) MacDermid K. (Upper-Body Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for San Jose: Wennberg A. (Upper-Body Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Ottawa in today's match, at odds of 2.2.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ottawa has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 70:63 (averaging 3.5:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ottawa against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 47:30 goals (averaging 4.7:3 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Ottawa Senators: 2.78% San Jose Sharks: 1.69%

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

San Jose Sharks - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
21.10.26	Ottawa Senators - Florida Panthers	5:1 ✺
17.10.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Ottawa Senators	3:1 ✺
15.10.26	Ottawa Senators - New York Islanders	2:1 penalties ✺
13.10.26	Ottawa Senators - St. Louis Blues	2:7 ✺
12.10.26	New Jersey Devils - Ottawa Senators	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLW
- San Jose Sharks
NHL
20.10.26	Montreal Canadiens - San Jose Sharks	3:4 OT ✺
19.10.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - San Jose Sharks	3:1 ✺
17.10.26	Detroit Red Wings - San Jose Sharks	4:3 penalties ✺
15.10.26	Nashville Predators - San Jose Sharks	2:3 penalties ✺
13.10.26	San Jose Sharks - Boston Bruins	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
15.03.26	Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks	7:4
22.11.25	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	2:3
01.03.25	Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks	5:3
27.11.24	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	3:4
09.03.24	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	2:1
13.01.24	Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks	5:4
03.12.22	Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks	5:2

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