Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	RoKi U20		KalPa U20

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.4	1.52
	4.05	4.51	1.46
	4.42	4.94	1.52	Watch
	4.75	4.5	1.44
	4.67	5.05	1.46
	3.6	4.25	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (4.01)	4.61 ↑ (4.53)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoKi U20
21.3%

Draw
19.4%

KalPa U20
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

20.3%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

21.8%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

KalPa U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoKi U20 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KalPa U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

RoKi U20 - KalPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
02:10, 1 - 0, Haataja A. (G), Surlak O. (A),
05:49, 1 - 1, Hirvonen D. (G), Pulkkanen A. (A),
14:11, 1 - 2, Kekarainen S. (G), Vetelainen T. (A), Sundgren M. (A2)
14:26, 1 - 3, Tuovinen R. (G), Holopainen M. (A), Tarkiainen L. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 5)
03:38, 1 - 4, Pulkkanen A. (G), Hirvonen D. (A), Pakarinen R. (A2)
05:43, 1 - 5, Olli T. (G), Holopainen M. (A), Tuovinen R. (A2)
07:19, 1 - 6, Saari O. (G), Timofejev D. (A), Kokkonen L. (A2)
09:25, 2 - 6, Tiensuu E. (G), Karjalainen S. (A),
12:16, 2 - 7, Hirvonen D. (G), Hintikka J. (A),
18:30, 2 - 8, Kekarainen S. (G), Sundgren M. (A), Holopainen M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:17, 3 - 8, Lamsa J. (G), Haataja A. (A), Juopperi V. (A2)
15:09, 3 - 9, Pulkkanen A. (G), Hintikka J. (A), Pakarinen R. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi U20 won 1.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

RoKi U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, KalPa U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, KalPa U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, RoKi U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 32:69. (average 2.5:5.3).

Including home matches between the teams, RoKi U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 2.5:5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	KalPa U20	10	2	5	0	3	33:31	16
17	RoKi U20	11	1	1	1	8	29:60	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RoKi U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.01.26	JYP U20 - RoKi U20	6:4 ✺
23.01.26	JYP U20 - RoKi U20	6:1 ✺
16.01.26	RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20	2:7 ✺
10.01.26	RoKi U20 - JYP U20	3:2 OT ✺
09.01.26	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWL
- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.01.26	KalPa U20 - Ässät U20	1:5 ✺
23.01.26	SaiPa U20 - KalPa U20	8:2 ✺
17.01.26	Lukko U20 - KalPa U20	3:4 penalties ✺
16.01.26	TPS U20 - KalPa U20	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ilves U20 - KalPa U20	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.10.25	KalPa U20 - RoKi U20	8:1
22.02.25	RoKi U20 - KalPa U20	1:4
21.02.25	RoKi U20 - KalPa U20	4:7
08.12.24	KalPa U20 - RoKi U20	4:2
07.12.24	KalPa U20 - RoKi U20	4:6
02.12.23	RoKi U20 - KalPa U20	1:5
24.11.23	KalPa U20 - RoKi U20	5:3

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