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Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, January 08, 2026)

Match Info

NHL

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Philadelphia Flyers		Toronto Maple Leafs

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.75	Watch
	2.29	4.03	2.71
	2.35	4.15	2.59	Watch
	2.25	4	2.75
	2.34	4.22	2.73
	2.3	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.43)	4.07 ↓ (4.25)	2.7 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Flyers
41.4%

Draw
23.4%

Toronto Maple Leafs
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

22.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

22.4%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Vladar D. (G)	35. Hildeby D. (G)
6. Sanheim T. (A)	25. Carlo B.
8. York C.	44. Rielly M. (A)
11. Konecny T. (A)	11. Domi M.
22. Dvorak C.	34. Matthews A. (C)
46. Zegras T.	74. McMann B.
Line 2
55. Ristolainen R.	28. Stecher T.
24. Seeler N.	95. Ekman-Larsson O.
74. Tippett O.	23. Knies M.
14. Couturier S. (C)	91. Tavares J. (A)
52. Barkey D.	63. Maccelli M.
Line 3
47. Juulsen N.	51. Myers P.
36. Andrae E.	2. Benoit S.
91. Grundstrom C.	89. Robertson N.
27. Cates N.	55. Roy N.
39. Michkov M.	53. Cowan E.
Line 4
19. Hathaway G.	19. Jarnkrok C.
18. Abols R.	24. Laughton S.
29. Grebyonkin N.	18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
33. Ersson S. (G)	60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. Tocchet R.	. Berube C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
18:35, Stecher T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:55, 1 - 0, Konecny T. (G), Dvorak C. (A), Ristolainen R. (A2)
08:40, Andrae E. (2 min),
11:31, Konecny T. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
10:59, Knies M. (2 min),
12:07, Stecher T. (2 min),
14:04, 1 - 1, Laughton S. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:48, 1 - 2, Cowan E. (G), Tavares J. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Philadelphia: Foerster T. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) McCabe J. (Lower-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Brink B. (Upper-Body Injury) Drysdale J. (Injury) Michkov M. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 55:86. (average 2.8:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:43. (average 2.9:3.9).

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Outrights of NHL for now

Philadelphia Flyers: 0.56%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Flyers
NHL
06.01.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Anaheim Ducks	5:2 ✺
03.01.26	Edmonton Oilers - Philadelphia Flyers	2:5 ✺
31.12.25	Calgary Flames - Philadelphia Flyers	5:1 ✺
30.12.25	Vancouver Canucks - Philadelphia Flyers	3:6 ✺
28.12.25	Seattle Kraken - Philadelphia Flyers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWL
- Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL
06.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Florida Panthers	4:1 ✺
03.01.26	New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3 OT ✺
01.01.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Winnipeg Jets	6:5 ✺
30.12.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - New Jersey Devils	4:0 ✺
28.12.25	Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
01.11.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:5
25.03.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers	7:2
07.01.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:3
05.01.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers	3:2 OT
19.03.24	Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3
14.03.24	Philadelphia Flyers - Toronto Maple Leafs	2:6
15.02.24	Toronto Maple Leafs - Philadelphia Flyers	4:3 OT

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