The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 33.1%
Draw 22.8%
New Jersey Devils 44%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
21.7%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
21.4%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
New Jersey Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New Jersey Devils's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Jersey Devils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Jersey Devils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
50%
16.7%
Toronto Maple Leafs - New Jersey Devils Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). New Jersey will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% โ 78.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 60%). New Jersey (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Woll J. (G)
25. Markstrom J. (G)
51. Myers P.
7. Hamilton D.
44. Rielly M. (A)
71. Siegenthaler J.
11. Domi M.
91. Mercer D.
91. Tavares J. (A)
13. Hischier N. (C)
23. Knies M.
28. Meier T.
Line 2
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
22. Pesce B.
22. McCabe J.
43. Hughes L.
89. Robertson N.
63. Bratt J.
55. Roy N.
86. Hughes J. (A)
53. Cowan E.
18. Palat O. (A)
Line 3
28. Stecher T.
45. White C.
2. Benoit S.
5. Dillon B.
74. McMann B.
16. Brown C.
24. Laughton S.
12. Glass C.
63. Maccelli M.
81. Gritsyuk A.
Line 4
19. Jarnkrok C.
11. Noesen S.
26. Quillan J.
14. Glendening L.
18. Lorentz S.
47. Cotter P.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)
34. Allen J. (G)
Coaches
. Berube C.
. Keefe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
07:26, Glass C. (2 min),
12:40, Noesen S. (2 min),
14:21, 1 - 0, McMann B. (G), Robertson N. (A),
19:29, Tavares J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:23, Gritsyuk A. (2 min),
14:24, 2 - 0, Roy N. (G), McMann B. (A), Robertson N. (A2)
16:13, Benoit S. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:22, Knies M. (5 min),
06:22, Hischier N. (5 min),
06:35, 3 - 0, Jarnkrok C. (G), Lorentz S. (A),
14:19, Knies M. (2 min),
17:01, 4 - 0, Knies M. (G), Tavares J. (A), Roy N. (A2)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
New Jersey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mermis D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Nylander W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in New Jersey: Dadonov Y.
(Injury)
Kovacevic J.
(Knee Injury)
MacEwen Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Nemec S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 80:54. (average 4:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:34. (average 3.9:3.4).
Last Results with these Odds
New Jersey Devils - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Chile
Denmark
Finland
Germany
Iceland
Mexico
Norway
Spain
Sweden
United Kingdom
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
International
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Woll J. (G) 
Markstrom J. (G) 
Myers P. 
Siegenthaler J. 
Palat O. (A) 
Maccelli M. 
Gritsyuk A. 
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