Match Info

Mestis

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday

Location: Lappi Areena (Rovaniemi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	RoKi		KeuPa

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.55	3.9
	1.75	4.39	3.79	Watch
	1.62	4.2	3.7
	1.67	4.4	3.8	Watch
	1.6	4.4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.72)	4.39 ↓ (4.58)	3.81 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RoKi
55.1%

Draw
20.9%

KeuPa
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

20.4%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

20.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RoKi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RoKi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

RoKi - KeuPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Huunonen R. (G)	35. Hannikainen O. (G)
18. Siira L.	92. Haarti J.
28. Virtanen E.	11. Liikonen V.
71. Boucher E.	75. Huttu E.
93. Jarvela J.	20. Jaatinen O. (A)
39. Niemi E. (A)	90. Liljamo T.
Line 2
55. Kenttamaa A. (C)	4. Heinonen O.
2. Manninen J. (A)	2. Kesajarvi A.
91. Mikkola M.	9. Hokkanen R.
87. Ruusunen R.	17. Tohila R.
77. Sikorski A.	29. Aliranta V.
Line 3
78. Haataja V.	45. Heikkila E.
4. Heiskanen T.	42. Wolin A. (C)
21. Alanko T.	18. Utriainen O. (A)
19. Orn T.	27. Tarvainen K.
9. Lindroos V.	7. Dobos M. B.
Line 4
84. Gronlund N.	22. Nyman L.
90. Turppa T.	12. Krook A.
13. Puotiniemi V.	24. Manni E.
27. Posti L.	16. Winqvist K.
Substitutes
1. Hyypia E. (G)	41. Pasanen J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
02:08, 0 - 1, Aliranta V. (G), Tarvainen K. (A), Hokkanen R. (A2)
04:43, 1 - 1, Virtanen E. (G), Mikkola M. (A), Ruusunen R. (A2)
13:43, 1 - 2, Krook A. (G), Jaatinen O. (A), Wolin A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:58, 2 - 2, Turppa T. (G), Puotiniemi V. (A),
04:06, 3 - 2, Jarvela J. (G),
04:53, 3 - 3, Nyman L. (G), Tohila R. (A), Aliranta V. (A2)
19:36, 3 - 4, Liljamo T. (G), Jaatinen O. (A), Haarti J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 4.

RoKi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KeuPa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, RoKi has had a series of home games.

In this match, RoKi is the team to beat.

We predict that RoKi will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, RoKi won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 74:61. (average 3.7:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, RoKi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 3.6:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	RoKi	8	3	3	0	2	26:15	15
8	KeuPa	9	2	0	2	5	22:37	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rovaniemen Kiekko
Finnish Mestis
28.12.25	Hermes Kokkola - RoKi	1:4 ✺
27.12.25	RoKi - Hermes Kokkola	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	RoKi - TuTo	1:2 ✺
19.12.25	RoKi - IPK	5:3 ✺
12.12.25	RoKi - Jokerit	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL
- KeuPa HT
Finnish Mestis
28.12.25	KeuPa - Imatran Ketterä	2:3 OT ✺
27.12.25	Imatran Ketterä - KeuPa	6:3 ✺
20.12.25	Nokian Pyry - KeuPa	3:0 ✺
19.12.25	KeuPa - Jokerit	0:4 ✺
16.12.25	TuTo - KeuPa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
20.11.25	KeuPa - RoKi	2:4
12.11.25	RoKi - KeuPa	6:3
24.10.25	RoKi - KeuPa	3:4 OT
27.09.25	KeuPa - RoKi	4:5
30.01.25	KeuPa - RoKi	0:2
25.01.25	RoKi - KeuPa	5:2
04.01.25	RoKi - KeuPa	4:1

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