Match Info

AHL

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: MassMutual Center (Springfield, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Springfield Thunderbirds		Belleville Senators

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.33	1.87	Watch
	3.05	4.15	1.96
	3.08	4.13	1.9
	3.14	4.36	1.92	Watch
	3.13	4.3	1.87	Watch
	2.85	3.85	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.66)	4.19 ↑ (3.85)	1.92 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Springfield Thunderbirds
30.3%

Draw
21.9%

Belleville Senators
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

23.5%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

24.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belleville Senators's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belleville Senators, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Belleville will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Romanov G. (G)	35. Merilainen L. (G)
9. Buchinger M.	5. Bongiovanni W.
42. Burns Q.	16. Boucher T.
14. Dean Z.	13. Bourgault X.
29. Dube D.	4. Crotty C.
45. Gaudet M.	11. Donovan J.
41. Kaskimaki A.	8. Duarte M.
13. Kessy K.	48. Gilbert D.
4. Lindstein T.	14. Harrington S. (A)
7. Loof L.	42. Hodgson H.
39. Luff M.	39. Hookey L.
11. McGing H.	24. Jenik J.
63. Peca M.	43. Kaliyev A.
18. Pekarcik J.	32. Pettersson O.
22. Peterson D.	22. Pilon G. (C)
43. Rosen C.	19. Rees J.
49. Stancl J.	33. Thomson L.
25. Stange S.	27. Washkurak K. (A)
27. Wall K.	26. Yakemchuk C.
Substitutes
1. Zherenko V. (G)	45. Best S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:17, 0 - 1, Jenik J. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 2.

Springfield is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Belleville is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Belleville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Belleville will win today's game, with odds of 2.17.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 69:50. (average 3.6:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Springfield won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:24. (average 4.2:2.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Springfield Thunderbirds - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Belleville Senators - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.34%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Springfield Thunderbirds
AHL
23.01.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Toronto Marlies	4:3 OT ✺
19.01.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Springfield Thunderbirds	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	8:2 ✺
13.01.26	Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- Belleville Senators
AHL
23.01.26	Providence Bruins - Belleville Senators	2:1 OT ✺
21.01.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators	2:3 OT ✺
18.01.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	5:4 penalties ✺
16.01.26	Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans	5:4 OT ✺
14.01.26	Laval Rocket - Belleville Senators	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
11.04.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators	2:4
21.12.24	Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds	5:2
05.04.24	Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:0
03.11.23	Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators	6:3
28.01.23	Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators	6:1
27.01.23	Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators	5:1
22.10.22	Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds	2:3

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