Match Info

VHL

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Khimik

	1	X	2
	4.83	4.26	1.52
	5.25	4.85	1.49	Watch
	5	4.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (3.54)	4.54 ↑ (4.08)	1.49 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
18.2%

Draw
20.2%

Khimik
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

22.6%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

23.9%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rostov's form might have worsened.

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khimik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rostov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khimik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rostov - Khimik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	31. Volokhin Y. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	89. Korolyov V.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	4. Sokolov N. (C)
17. Smolyov I.	99. Filin Y.
21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)	8. Krovyakov M. (A)
95. Korbit Y.	7. Kukstel P.
Line 2
49. Balanov Y. (A)	5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)
47. Krikunov V.	13. Gavrilov I.
78. Kondyrev K.	28. Pashin A.
25. Sedantsov O.	97. Kholodilin N.
26. Urulin S. (A)	36. Lukin K.
Line 3
94. Voronin N.	87. Dmitriyev S.
6. Gapochkin R.	32. Maryshev A.
73. Prokhorov A.	2. Varyushkin Y.
32. Barsukov T.	6. Ryabov I.
8. Sokolov D.	92. Yarovoi S.
Line 4
5. Makarov S.	93. Matveyev V.
15. Kuznetsov A.	43. Krasnichuk A.
23. Kamensky Y.	23. Ovchinnikov G.
28. Klimov D.	76. Lukyantsev S.
	77. Zvyagin S.
Substitutes
31. Kapustin K. (G)	1. Kanayev P. (G)
70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:26, 0 - 1, Kukstel P. (G), Filin Y. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:20, 0 - 2, Lukin K. (G), Rukavishnikov R. (A),
00:49, 0 - 3, Ryabov I. (G),
18:35, 1 - 3, Kondyrev K. (G),
19:29, 1 - 4, Yarovoi S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.

In recent matches, Rostov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Khimik is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Khimik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of away games.

Recently, Khimik has had a series of home games.

In this match, Khimik is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 27:52. (average 1.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.7:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Khimik	13	6	2	2	3	45:26	18

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 25.96%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Khimik - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.49%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
24.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
22.01.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Rostov	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Chelmet - Rostov	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov	1:4 ✺
14.01.26	Rostov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LWLWL
- MHC Khimik
VHL
29.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Khimik	0:4 ✺
25.01.26	Khimik - Omskie Krylia	3:0 ✺
23.01.26	Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Khimik - Rubin Tyumen	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Khimik - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
18.10.25	Khimik - Rostov	3:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.08.25	Khimik - Rostov	1:2
VHL
06.03.25	Khimik - Rostov	5:4
18.09.24	Rostov - Khimik	1:2
13.12.23	Rostov - Khimik	1:2 penalties
24.10.23	Khimik - Rostov	4:1
14.12.22	Rostov - Khimik	1:7

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