Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Ledovyy dvorets (Voskresensk)


	Khimik		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	1.74	4.12	3.63
	1.78	4.36	3.6	Watch
	1.74	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.94)	4.16 ↑ (3.85)	3.58 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik
52.3%

Draw
22%

Zauralie Kurgan
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

23.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimik's performance.

Zauralie Kurgan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zauralie Kurgan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Khimik will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Volokhin Y. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
43. Krasnichuk A.	16. Avvakumov I.
78. Bychkov R.	43. Ugolnikov A. (C)
99. Filin Y.	11. Ryzhov K.
8. Krovyakov M. (A)	34. Tagirov K.
12. Buruyanov N.	47. Grymzin S.
Line 2
5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)	61. Kozhemyakin G.
13. Gavrilov I.	48. Denisevich B.
28. Pashin A.	55. Kovalishin M.
97. Kholodilin N.	78. Komaristy A. (A)
36. Lukin K.	82. Shiryayev I.
Line 3
89. Korolyov V.	3. Shikun A.
3. Ivanov D.	19. Vasilyev K.
23. Ovchinnikov G.	99. Kolesnikov S.
6. Ryabov I.	93. Kozlov I. (A)
2. Varyushkin Y.	7. Baldayev D.
Line 4
4. Sokolov N. (C)	37. Afridanov I.
72. Zaitsev A.	97. Bogdanov A.
7. Kukstel P.	98. Govorkov R.
76. Lukyantsev S.	74. Govorkov M.
Substitutes
20. Nikolayev D. (G)	21. Nikishin M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:14, 0 - 1, Baldayev D. (G), Kolesnikov S. (A), Komaristy A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:45, 1 - 1, Pashin A. (G), Kholodilin N. (A), Ivanov D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:35, 2 - 1, Pashin A. (G),
08:41, 3 - 1, Ivanov D. (G), Lukin K. (A), Kholodilin N. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Khimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zauralie has had a series of home games.

Khimik could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 70:59. (average 3.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Khimik won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:30. (average 3.6:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Khimik	14	6	2	2	4	46:28	18
28	Kurgan	10	0	2	4	4	15:27	8

Last Results with these Odds

Khimik - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 46.94%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.38%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Khimik
VHL
21.01.26	Khimik - Rubin Tyumen	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Khimik - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:1 ✺
15.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	3:5 ✺
05.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Khimik	4:2 ✺
27.12.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Khimik	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLW
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
21.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Zauralie Kurgan	4:1 ✺
16.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:0 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
10.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.10.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Khimik	4:2
05.04.25	Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan	5:3
03.04.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Khimik	2:1 OT
01.04.25	Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1
29.03.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Khimik	6:3
27.03.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Khimik	3:7
24.03.25	Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2

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