Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.04	3.63	2.06
	3.14	3.84	2.04	Watch
	3	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.8)	3.69 ↓ (3.87)	2.03 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
30%

Draw
24.9%

Zvezda Moscow
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

23.8%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Rostov - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kapustin K. (G)	31. Novozhilov I. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	3. Sidorov M. (A)
11. Tsalpanov Y.	48. Barantsev D.
95. Korbit Y.	56. Vlasenko D.
21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)	98. Pankratov S. (A)
8. Sokolov D.	77. Solovyov Y.
Line 2
94. Voronin N.	6. Gordeyev M.
47. Krikunov V.	49. Bryutov Y.
78. Kondyrev K.	62. Shalyshkin N.
25. Sedantsov O.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
26. Urulin S. (A)	23. Khulapov D.
Line 3
6. Gapochkin R.	32. Rogov I.
5. Makarov S.	44. Stanislavskiy D.
17. Smolyov I.	42. Savvateyev V.
32. Barsukov T.	25. Lazutin D.
73. Prokhorov A. (A)	87. Yapparov Y.
Line 4
55. Machugin D.	80. Barabosha A.
64. Sorokin S.	79. Dronyk V.
23. Kamensky Y.	75. Averochkin M.
9. Myagkov V.	70. Yanchenko I.
Substitutes
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	45. Gluschenko R. (G)
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	52. Poroshkov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:29, 1 - 0, Barsukov T. (G), Prokhorov A. (A), Smolyov I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
08:36, 1 - 1, Vlasenko D. (G), Pankratov S. (A),
10:48, 1 - 2, Vlasenko D. (G),
17:12, 2 - 2, Korbit Y. (G), Sergiyevsky Y. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Sedantsov O. (Penalty Shot),
1, Vlasenko D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Korbit Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Khulapov D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kamensky Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lazutin D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Barsukov T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Savvateyev V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Tsalpanov Y. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of away games.

Recently, Zvezda Moscow has had a series of home games.

Zvezda Moscow could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.8:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.35%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
31.01.26	Rostov - Khimik	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
22.01.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Rostov	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Chelmet - Rostov	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LLWLW
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
31.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Zvezda Moscow	1:3 ✺
27.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Omskie Krylia	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 OT ✺
23.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	1:3 ✺
21.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
16.10.25	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	3:1
20.12.24	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	3:2 OT
15.11.24	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	3:4 OT
15.01.24	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	0:3
08.10.23	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	3:2
25.01.23	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
30.09.22	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	4:1

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