Match Info

VHL

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: CSKA Arena (Moscow)


	Zvezda Moscow		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.78	2.35
	2.38	3.84	2.58	Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2)	3.79 ↑ (3.76)	2.46 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
38.3%

Draw
24.3%

Zauralie Kurgan
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

24.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

28.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvezda Moscow's form might have worsened.

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zauralie Kurgan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zauralie Kurgan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zvezda Moscow - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zauralie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Gluschenko R. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
3. Sidorov M. (A)	3. Shikun A.
48. Barantsev D.	43. Ugolnikov A. (C)
56. Vlasenko D.	11. Ryzhov K.
98. Pankratov S. (A)	34. Tagirov K.
77. Solovyov Y.	47. Grymzin S.
Line 2
6. Gordeyev M.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
8. Bobryashov N.	77. Belyakov F.
62. Shalyshkin N.	55. Kovalishin M.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)	78. Komaristy A. (A)
23. Khulapov D.	74. Govorkov M.
Line 3
32. Rogov I.	48. Denisevich B.
49. Bryutov Y.	67. Vasilyev K.
42. Savvateyev V.	87. Nizovtsev S.
75. Averochkin M.	93. Kozlov I. (A)
87. Yapparov Y.	7. Baldayev D.
Line 4
76. Shuravin M.	19. Vasilyev I. M.
79. Dronyk V.	97. Bogdanov A.
95. Vasin M.	98. Govorkov R.
70. Yanchenko I.	70. Monakhov A.
Substitutes
31. Novozhilov I. (G)	30. Yeryomin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
03:16, 0 - 1, Tagirov K. (G),
17:42, 0 - 2, Bogdanov A. (G), Ryzhov K. (A),
19:27, 1 - 2, Pankratov S. (G), Rogov I. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:07, 2 - 2, Solovyov Y. (G), Bryutov Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:27, 2 - 3, Komaristy A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 3.

Zvezda Moscow is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zauralie has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Zvezda Moscow may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 41:52. (average 2.1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 2:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9
28	Kurgan	10	0	2	4	4	15:27	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
23.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	1:3 ✺
21.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Khimik	3:5 ✺
09.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Zvezda Moscow	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
23.01.26	Khimik - Zauralie Kurgan	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Zauralie Kurgan	4:1 ✺
16.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
14.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:0 penalties ✺
12.01.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelmet	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.10.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Zvezda Moscow	1:3
14.01.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Zvezda Moscow	5:7
05.11.24	Zvezda Moscow - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3
07.03.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Zvezda Moscow	5:0
04.03.24	Zvezda Moscow - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2
01.03.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Zvezda Moscow	2:1 OT
27.02.24	Zvezda Moscow - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 OT

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