Match Info

KHL

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ice Palace (Saint Petersburg)


	SKA Saint Petersburg		Avangard Omsk

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.82	2.37
	2.5	4.3	2.55	Watch
	2.29	4.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.35)	4.07 ↓ (4.2)	2.47 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Saint Petersburg
38.3%

Draw
23.3%

Avangard Omsk
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

22.6%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

22.7%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

SKA Saint Petersburg - Avangard Omsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. SKA will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Avangard will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Zavragin Y. (G)	54. Serebryakov N. (G)
9. Sapego S.	44. Sharipzyanov D. (C)
18. Phillips M.	66. Chistyakov S. (A)
16. Plotnikov S. (C)	70. Martynov I.
17. Loktionov A.	14. Igumnov I.
87. Goldobin N.	13. Fiore G.
Line 2
33. Smirnov N.	58. Lajoie M.
8. Murphy T.	28. Ibragimov M.
61. Khairullin M. (A)	17. Okulov K.
42. Vorobyov M. (A)	22. Poturalski A.
90. Zykov V.	83. Volkov A.
Line 3
27. Menell B.	88. Blazhiyevsky A.
79. Galenyuk D.	26. Voynov V.
23. Grimaldi R.	96. Rashevsky D.
69. Larionov I.	74. Prokhorkin N. (A)
10. Blandisi J.	53. Kotlyarevsky M.
Line 4
84. Vydrenkov I.	5. Chaika D.
41. Polyakov M.	25. Galimov A.
71. Korotky M.	92. Ponomaryov V.
55. Dishkovsky N.	84. Gulyaev M.
Substitutes
1. Ivanov S. (G)	1. Mishurov A. (G)
Coaches
. Larionov I.	. Boucher G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
01:32, 0 - 1, Poturalski A. (G), Ibragimov M. (A), Lajoie M. (A2)
13:02, Larionov I. (2 min),
14:44, 0 - 2, Ponomaryov V. (G), Volkov A. (A), Chistyakov S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:13, 1 - 2, Menell B. (G), Khairullin M. (A), Vorobyov M. (A2)
10:13, (2 min),
12:41, Blazhiyevsky A. (2 min),
18:09, Blazhiyevsky A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
05:04, Volkov A. (2 min),
07:34, 2 - 2, Korotky M. (G), Zykov V. (A), Sapego S. (A2)
15:15, Chistyakov S. (2 min),
18:43, 2 - 3, Chistyakov S. (G), Fiore G. (A), Prokhorkin N. (A2)
19:55, 2 - 4, Igumnov I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA won 1.

SKA is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Avangard is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Avangard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Avangard has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SKA won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 50:56. (average 2.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SKA won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 2.1:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

SKA Saint Petersburg - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Saint Petersburg
KHL
21.09.25	Lada Togliatti - SKA Saint Petersburg	0:3 ✺
19.09.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Dinamo Minsk	3:2 OT ✺
14.09.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	6:1 ✺
11.09.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Traktor Chelyabinsk	5:2 ✺
08.09.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- Avangard Omsk
KHL
21.09.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Avangard Omsk	1:6 ✺
17.09.25	Avangard Omsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	3:2 OT ✺
15.09.25	Avangard Omsk - Dinamo Minsk	5:4 penalties ✺
13.09.25	Avangard Omsk - Dynamo Moscow	7:4 ✺
11.09.25	Avangard Omsk - Amur Khabarovsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
02.09.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Avangard Omsk	3:5
KHL
11.11.24	Avangard Omsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:1
23.09.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Avangard Omsk	4:1
06.02.24	Avangard Omsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	9:5
02.11.23	SKA Saint Petersburg - Avangard Omsk	3:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.08.23	SKA Saint Petersburg - Avangard Omsk	1:5
KHL
11.02.23	Avangard Omsk - SKA Saint Petersburg	5:4

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