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Current Win Probability
Ak Bars Kazan 39.4%
Draw 23.1%
Avangard Omsk 37.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
21.8%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
21.5%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
42.9%
57.1%
Ak Bars Kazan - Avangard Omsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Avangard will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avangard Omsk will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
54. Serebryakov N. (G)
7. Falkovsky S.
55. Cecconi J.
58. Miller M.
44. Sharipzyanov D. (C)
55. Chmelevski A.
22. Poturalski A.
72. Alistrov V.
9. McLeod M.
94. Semyonov K. (A)
83. Volkov A.
Line 2
53. Marchenko A. (C)
66. Chistyakov S. (A)
89. Karpukhin I.
88. Blazhiyevsky A.
17. Barabanov A.
96. Rashevsky D.
24. Safonov I.
92. Ponomaryov V.
95. Galimov A.
17. Okulov K.
Line 3
28. Terekhov S.
26. Voynov V.
65. Luchevnikov K.
58. Lajoie M.
10. Biro B.
14. Igumnov I.
11. Fisenko M. (A)
74. Prokhorkin N.
14. Denisenko G.
65. Yakupov N.
Line 4
22. Bardin I.
28. Ibragimov M.
18. Potapov Y.
70. Martynov I.
86. Dynyak N.
53. Kotlyarevsky M.
92. Katelevsky D.
Substitutes
20. Arefyev M. (G)
1. Mishurov A. (G)
15. Brovkin A.
Coaches
. Gatiyatulin A.
. Boucher G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
08:02, Yakupov N. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
07:15, Alistrov V. (2 min),
15:08, Denisenko G. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:43, 0 - 1, McLeod M. (G), Cecconi J. (A), Sharipzyanov D. (A2)
02:35, 1 - 1, Alistrov V. (G), Semyonov K. (A), Chmelevski A. (A2)
06', 1 - 2, Sharipzyanov D. (G),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Ak Bars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Avangard has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 43:47. (average 2.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ak Bars won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 2.2:2.5).
Outrights of KHL for now
Avangard Omsk: 13.3% Bars Kazan: 6.65%
Last Results with these Odds
Avangard Omsk - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.