Match Info

VHL

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kristall (Tambov) 🌤️ ...


	Tambov		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.63	2.24
	2.41	3.88	2.51	Watch
	2.6	3.85	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.12)	3.79 ↓ (3.86)	2.3 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
35.6%

Draw
24.3%

Zvezda Moscow
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

23.8%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

25.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tambov's form might have worsened.

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zvezda Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tambov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tambov - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Zvezda Moscow (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zvezda Moscow (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
22. Korolev T. (G)	45. Gluschenko R. (G)
72. Vasin I.	3. Sidorov M.
24. Mamkin M.	48. Barantsev D.
86. Kopyltsov S.	56. Vlasenko D.
7. Kamenev V.	98. Pankratov S.
51. Dubrovsky Y.	52. Poroshkov D.
Line 2
57. Baranov V.	6. Gordeyev M.
38. Yepishin M.	49. Bryutov Y.
92. Korinevsky M.	77. Solovyov Y.
71. Koltygin P.	19. Prokhorov A.
63. Valitsky I.	23. Khulapov D.
Line 3
67. Karimov T.	32. Rogov I.
6. Gromov N.	80. Barabosha A.
49. Smirnov Y.	42. Savvateyev V.
96. Pyanov E.	25. Lazutin D.
43. Ugolnikov A.	87. Yapparov Y.
Line 4
29. Protasov I.	44. Stanislavskiy D.
84. Nizovkin M.	79. Dronyk V.
87. Gorbunov Y.	62. Shalyshkin N.
39. Ivanov M.	70. Yanchenko I.
Substitutes
60. Golovlev V. (G)	31. Novozhilov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
08:52, 1 - 0, Vasin I. (G), Ivanov M. (A), Nizovkin M. (A2)
10:45, 2 - 0, Ugolnikov A. (G), Pyanov E. (A), Protasov I. (A2)
11:50, 3 - 0, Valitsky I. (G), Gromov N. (A), Dubrovsky Y. (A2)
13:52, 3 - 1, Bryutov Y. (G), Dronyk V. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
07:27, 4 - 1, Karimov T. (G), Korinevsky M. (A),
12:50, 5 - 1, Gorbunov Y. (G),
18:41, 6 - 1, Smirnov Y. (G), Pyanov E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 1.

Recent form of Tambov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zvezda Moscow has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tambov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 36:55. (average 1.9:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 2:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
18	Tambov	15	7	1	2	5	37:41	18
23	Zvezda Moscow	17	3	4	1	9	42:53	15

Last Results with these Odds

Tambov - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.34%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
02.02.26	Tambov - Khimik	7:4 ✺
26.01.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Tambov	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Tambov	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Chelmet - Tambov	5:2 ✺
20.01.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Tambov	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
02.02.26	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	2:3 penalties ✺
31.01.26	Buran Voronezh - Zvezda Moscow	1:3 ✺
27.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Omskie Krylia	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 OT ✺
23.01.26	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.10.25	Zvezda Moscow - Tambov	5:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
20.08.25	Zvezda Moscow - Tambov	4:0
VHL
22.12.24	Zvezda Moscow - Tambov	8:3
19.11.24	Tambov - Zvezda Moscow	2:1
17.01.24	Tambov - Zvezda Moscow	0:1
02.10.23	Zvezda Moscow - Tambov	0:1
21.12.22	Tambov - Zvezda Moscow	2:4

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