Match Info
LiigaDate: 26 December 2025, Friday ๐ Finished Location: Kisapuisto (Lappeenranta) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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Finland | 18:30 | MTV Katsomo+ |
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SaiPa |
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KalPa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.67 |
5 |
3.8 |
|
 |
1.73 |
4.25 |
4.16 |
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 |
1.77 |
4.38 |
3.86 |
Watch |
 |
1.67 |
4 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.75 |
4.55 |
3.69 |
Watch |
 |
1.74 |
4.25 |
4 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↓ (1.81) |
4.41 ↓ (4.55) |
3.85 ↑ (3.49) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
SaiPa 54.4% | Draw 21.3% | KalPa 24.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)SaiPa - KalPa Predictions
Users Predictions:
SaiPa will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% โ 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): SaiPa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
30. Piiroinen K. (G)
| 47. Boyko T. (G)
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26. Kivihalme T.
| 6. Westerlund F. (A)
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22. Aho K.
| 97. Kanak L.
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18. Heikkila J.
| 70. Hartikainen T. (A)
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51. Kalapudas A.
| 28. Rissanen J. (C)
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25. Kuusla E.
| 20. Klemetti A.
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| Line 2 |
|---|
14. Kramer B.
| 89. Ketola J.
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55. Trejbal O.
| 18. Gallet H.
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41. Fortier M.
| 22. Borchardt C.
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82. Nikkanen H.
| 16. Okany A.
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10. Kivenmaki O. (A)
| 42. Kapanen K.
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| Line 3 |
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6. Airola S.
| 55. Lappalainen L.
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7. Niinisaari S. (C)
| 7. Mononen V.
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75. Siikanen P.
| 15. Korkiakoski T.
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12. Bau S.
| 17. Korhonen B.
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70. Naukkarinen J.
| 41. Kononen J.
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| Line 4 |
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50. Salminen S. (A)
| 52. Tornberg A.
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92. Zezelj A.
| 39. Mykra O.
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57. Hokkanen O.
| 86. Kombe K.
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62. Tauslahti M.
| 29. Miilunpohja R.
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| Substitutes |
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31. Grigals G. (G)
| 40. Lekkas S. (G)
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Helminen R.
| . Tervonen S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 2)
- 03:21, 0 - 1, Klemetti A. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Hartikainen T. (A2)
- 07:53, Trejbal O. (2 min),
- 19:22, 0 - 2, Korhonen B. (G), Kononen J. (A), Korkiakoski T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 08:25, 0 - 3, Korkiakoski T. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Westerlund F. (A2)
- 09:52, 0 - 4, Okany A. (G), Kanak L. (A), Borchardt C. (A2)
- 10:40, 1 - 4, Niinisaari S. (G), Airola S. (A), Tauslahti M. (A2)
- 14:34, 2 - 4, Kivihalme T. (G), Fortier M. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:33, Borchardt C. (2 min),
- 00:33, Heikkila J. (2 min),
- 04:34, Kalapudas A. (2 min),
- 06:45, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 11:33, Ketola J. (2 min),
- 13:05, 3 - 4, Kuusla E. (G), Kivihalme T. (A), Kalapudas A. (A2)
- 19:59, 3 - 5, Hartikainen T. (G), Rissanen J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 2.SaiPa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).KalPa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).SaiPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, SaiPa has had a series of away games. In this match, SaiPa is considered a favorite.We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 45:70. (average 2.3:3.5).Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 1.5:3).
Last Results with these Odds
SaiPa - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 52.18%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 12.12.25 | KalPa - SaiPa | 3:6 | | 09.09.25 | SaiPa - KalPa | 3:4 OT | | 03.05.25 | SaiPa - KalPa | 2:3 OT | | 02.05.25 | KalPa - SaiPa | 2:4 | | 30.04.25 | SaiPa - KalPa | 0:2 | | 28.04.25 | KalPa - SaiPa | 8:1 | | 26.04.25 | SaiPa - KalPa | 2:5 |
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