The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KalPa 39.8%
Draw 24.2%
SaiPa 36%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
24.5%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
25.6%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
KalPa - SaiPa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Lekkas S. (G)
30. Piiroinen K. (G)
57. Lyytinen J.
22. Aho K.
18. Gallet H.
6. Airola S. (A)
70. Hartikainen T. (A)
10. Emanuelsson E.
91. Vilen E.
28. Intonen A.
9. Maenpaa J.
11. Fridrich P.
Line 2
55. Lappalainen L. (A)
17. Svensk V.
8. Ruotsalainen V.
50. Salminen S. (C)
22. Borchardt C.
62. Tauslahti M.
12. Saarelainen J.
41. Zabaneh N.
42. Kapanen K.
52. Palmu P.
Line 3
89. Ketola J.
14. Kramer B.
97. Kanak L.
55. Trejbal O.
54. Piitulainen J.
70. Naukkarinen J.
28. Rissanen J. (C)
34. Perttu M.
20. Klemetti A.
75. Siikanen P.
Line 4
3. Karlsson A.
18. Heikkila J.
4. Jokinen M.
15. Salomaki M. (A)
86. Kombe K.
81. Klintrup E.
85. Somppi O.
41. Kononen J.
Substitutes
35. Korhonen R. (G)
31. Grigals G. (G)
57. Hokkanen O.
Coaches
. Tervonen S.
. Helminen R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:20, Lyytinen J. (2 min),
06:23, Salminen S. (2 min),
12:04, 0 - 1, Trejbal O. (G), Kramer B. (A), Aho K. (A2)
13:07, Klemetti A. (2 min),
13:58, Gallet H. (2 min),
18:43, 1 - 1, Saarelainen J. (G), Kapanen K. (A), Borchardt C. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:10, 1 - 2, Perttu M. (G), Siikanen P. (A), Naukkarinen J. (A2)
02:49, Palmu P. (2 min),
02:49, Kombe K. (2 min),
03:00, Ruotsalainen V. (2 min),
07:36, Heikkila J. (2 min),
09:27, 2 - 2, Ruotsalainen V. (G), Maenpaa J. (A), Rissanen J. (A2)
12:08, 2 - 3, Salomaki M. (G), Klintrup E. (A), Svensk V. (A2)
13:27, Vilen E. (2 min),
15:48, 3 - 3, Kononen J. (G), Somppi O. (A), Kanak L. (A2)
16:45, Fridrich P. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:52, Salomaki M. (2 min),
04:07, 4 - 3, Lyytinen J. (G), Hartikainen T. (A), Maenpaa J. (A2)
15:05, Palmu P. (2 min),
19:31, Rissanen J. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
KalPa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KalPa has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 77:46 (averaging 3.9:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for KalPa against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 43:30 goals (averaging 4.3:3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
13
KalPa
16
7
0
1
8
42:39
22
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Saipa: 5.38%
Last Results with these Odds
KalPa - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
SaiPa - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.28%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Lekkas S. (G) 
Piiroinen K. (G) 
Gallet H. 
Emanuelsson E. 
Fridrich P. 
Zabaneh N. 
Kombe K. 
Grigals G. (G) 
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