Match Info

Liiga

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Let's Go Areena (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Mikkelin Jukurit		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.2	2.45
	2.87	3.96	2.21	Watch
	2.66	3.77	2.36	Watch
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.65	4.1	2.26	Watch
	2.95	3.75	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.94)	3.91 ↑ (3.69)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Jukurit
35%

Draw
23.9%

SaiPa
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

25.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

26.2%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - SaiPa (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Buitenhuis E. (G)	31. Grigals G. (G)
23. Smits A.	50. Salminen S. (A)
3. Arola J.	26. Kivihalme T.
10. Olsen T.	51. Kalapudas A.
20. Addamo J.	15. Salomaki M.
34. Immonen S.	57. Hokkanen O.
Line 2
58. Johansson K.	14. Kramer B.
70. Saari E.	55. Trejbal O.
54. Piitulainen J. (C)	41. Fortier M.
16. Ford C.	82. Nikkanen H.
52. Hynninen T.	10. Kivenmaki O.
Line 3
53. Korkola N.	6. Airola S.
7. Worge Kreu W.	7. Niinisaari S. (C)
82. Ruuttu A. (A)	75. Siikanen P.
40. Boudon L.	12. Bau S.
67. Haatanen A. (A)	70. Naukkarinen J.
Line 4
71. Romppanen N.	17. Svensk V.
55. Huttu E.	81. Klintrup E.
76. Hamalainen S.	21. Appelgren N. (A)
63. Heikkinen L.	18. Heikkila J.
Substitutes
1. Herpin M. (G)	33. Karhunen T. (G)
Coaches
. Virtanen J.	. Helminen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
02:44, 0 - 1, Klintrup E. (G), Heikkila J. (A), Kivihalme T. (A2)
06:05, 1 - 1, Addamo J. (G), Smits A. (A),
07:35, 2 - 1, Boudon L. (G), Korkola N. (A), Worge Kreu W. (A2)
14:54, Worge Kreu W. (2 min),
15:20, Airola S. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:27, 3 - 1, Worge Kreu W. (G), Immonen S. (A), Olsen T. (A2)
10:01, Bau S. (2 min),
15:53, 3 - 2, Fortier M. (G), Salminen S. (A), Nikkanen H. (A2)
17:53, 3 - 3, Trejbal O. (G), Heikkila J. (A), Appelgren N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
01:30, Trejbal O. (2 min),
13:57, Heikkila J. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:39, 3 - 4, Siikanen P. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 3.

Jukurit has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SaiPa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jukurit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SaiPa has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 52:47. (average 2.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 2.5:2.4).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Saipa: 4.07% Jukurit: 2.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
10.01.26	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:3 ✺
05.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	5:3 ✺
20.12.25	Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL
- SaiPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
14.01.26	Kärpät - SaiPa	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa	3:4 ✺
09.01.26	SaiPa - TPS	1:4 ✺
07.01.26	Lukko - SaiPa	3:4 ✺
05.01.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
05.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa	1:4
26.09.25	SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa	0:3
08.08.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa	2:1
Finnish SM-liiga
07.03.25	SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:4
18.01.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa	2:3
20.11.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa	2:3

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